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My Take
Opinion
Alex Lo

My Take | US sounds nuclear alarm as it finds yet another ‘China threat’

  • Washington may well outnumber Beijing when it comes to warheads and is prepared to use them first, but why let facts get in the way

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The JASSM, or AGM-158A, is an air-to-surface, single warhead self-propelled missile. Photo: Handout

Here we go again. The Pentagon has warned that China is expanding its nuclear arsenal and is ready to nearly quadruple the number of warheads it has by 2035, thus rapidly closing its gap with the United States.

That’s the latest US defence department “assessment”. It’s not clear Beijing actually aims to have 1,500 nuclear warheads by the middle of the next decade. But even if it does, that would still be less than half of what the United States currently possesses. Meanwhile, Pentagon generals can wave their report and warn the American public of another “China threat”.

Actually, they don’t need to convince the American public; they just need to convince Democrats and Republicans in the US Congress that controls funding. And that’s almost always a foregone conclusion.

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“In recent years, bipartisan congressional support for the nuclear mission has been strong, and nuclear modernisation has received additional funding,” according to the ultraconservative Heritage Foundation’s study of “US Nuclear Weapons” that was published in October as part of its “2023 Index of US Military Strength”. “Preservation of that bipartisan consensus will be critical as these programmes mature and begin to introduce modern nuclear systems to the force.” The “comprehensive modernisation programme” was started by Barack Obama and has been fully supported and accelerated by his two successors.

The Heritage Foundation report continues: “In FY 2022, the Biden administration, supported by Congress, advanced the comprehensive modernisation programme for nuclear forces that was initiated by President Barack Obama and continued by the Trump administration … Because such modernisation activities require consistent, stable, long-term funding commitments, this continued bipartisan support has been critical.”

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Well, let’s consider the numbers. According to the Federation of American Scientists, “Approximately 90 per cent of all nuclear warheads are owned by Russia and the United States, who each have around 4,000 warheads in their military stockpiles; no other nuclear-armed state sees a need for more than a few hundred nuclear weapons for national security.”
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