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Diplomacy
Opinion
Alex Lo

My TakeFrom Taiwan to Palau, the true threat of US pivot to Asia emerges

  • Beijing’s strategic dilemma is that to counter US containment, it needs a free hand in the South and East China seas and into the rest of the Pacific. But the more it pushes, the more it antagonises neighbouring countries

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Taiwan C-130 Hercules Military plane at Songshan airport, in Taipei, August 25, 2023. Photo: EPA-EFE

A flight journey from Taipei to Palau covers quite a distance, of more than 2,300km. But, as Taiwanese news media reported this week, the island’s military last month took part in a live-drill with the US Army in the central Pacific island state to test the MIM-104F Patriot (PAC-3) missiles.

The news was no doubt planted by the Taiwanese government of Tsai Ing-wen to coincide with the high-profile White House summit with leaders of more than a dozen Pacific island states – of which Palau is a key strategic component. America’s militarisation of the Pacific is falling into place.

Patriot missiles are already part of Taiwan’s defence inventory, but Taipei and Washington signed a US$83 million contract last year to upgrade the defence systems. The Patriot Advanced Capability 2 (PAC-2) and PAC-3 Guided Enhancement Missiles (GEM) are among Taiwan’s existing arsenal. Though unreported, the US military presumably brought along new or upgraded versions of the missile systems for its Taiwanese counterpart to check out. The upgrades will reportedly be delivered over the next two years.

But what is intriguing is that Palau, one of three so-called Freely Associated States (FAS) in the region with the United States, is increasingly being used for military training and weapon technology transfer with Taiwan.

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If Taiwan is increasingly being prepared by Washington as a key hub in the “first island chain” of containment against China, the three FAS states form the second island chain in the central Pacific. Incidentally, Palau is one of Taiwan’s four remaining diplomatic allies in the Pacific.

If you are a Pentagon general or a State Department strategist, that’s the connection that you would see and want to draw ever closer. And Washington has had the most willing joiners – Tsai and the Democratic Progressive Party.

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In February, the White House acknowledged that more US troops would be sent to Taiwan to train its forces. Tsai declared that the two militaries would cooperate “even more closely” … to “bolster military exchanges”. The joint live missile exercise in Palau last month is no doubt part of those exchanges.

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