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China economy
EconomyChina Economy

China economy showing effects of trade war as growth slows again in November

  • Retail sales growth slows to 8.1 per cent in November, lowest rate in 15 years
  • Industrial production growth slows to 5.4 per cent in November, the lowest rate in 10 years

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A customer steps out of a Ford Motor Co. vehicle on display at a Ford dealership in Shanghai, China. The US-China trade war will take a toll on companies from both sides, with some tariffs in place and the potential to escalate into consumer boycotts. Photo: Bloomberg
John Carter

The Chinese economy weakened further in November, as the trade war with the United States continued to take a toll on growth, according to economic data released on Friday.

The data suggest that fourth quarter growth will slow further from the decade-low gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 6.5 per cent posted in the third quarter.

Retail sales growth decelerated sharply to 8.1 per cent from the 8.6 per cent rate in October, lower than the 8.8 per cent rate expected by analysts polled by Bloomberg. The November growth rate was the lowest since the 4.3 per cent gain posted in May 2003.

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The slowing of headline retail sales suggests that record sales during the Singles’ Day marathon on November 11 could not offset declines in other areas, such as car sales, which fell 16.1 per cent during the month, year on year, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.
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Industrial production grew 5.4 per cent in November compared to the previous year, well below the 5.9 per cent gain in October and expectation for a like-sized 5.9 per cent rise this month, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey. The November growth rate was the lowest in 10 years, matching the 5.4 per cent gain in November 2008.

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