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US-China trade war
EconomyChina Economy

Trade war could slice 1 per cent off China’s economic growth, top party official says

  • Politburo Standing Committee member Wang Yang reveals ‘worst case scenario’ at forum for Taiwanese businesspeople in Beijing but says dispute will not do any long-term damage
  • Firms should not relocate away from Chinese mainland as it still offers huge development opportunities, he says

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One of China’s most senior officials has given a candid assessment of the impact the trade war might have on the economy. Photo: Xinhua
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The US-China trade war could slash one percentage point off Beijing’s economic growth this year, a senior Chinese policymaker said on Thursday.

Speaking to a group of Taiwanese businesspeople whose companies are based in mainland China, Wang Yang – one of the seven members of the elite Politburo Standing Committee – said that the government had assessed the impact of the near year-long dispute and estimated that in the worst case scenario gross domestic product growth would be one percentage point lower than expected.

Beijing had earlier set a target of 6 to 6.5 per cent growth for the full year.

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While Wang did not outline any plans for dealing with the fallout from the trade war, he is the first official from the top policymaking body to speak so candidly about its possible impact on headline targets.

Politburo Standing Committee member Wang Yang said that in the worst case scenario the trade war would cut a percentage point off China’s GDP growth. Photo: AP
Politburo Standing Committee member Wang Yang said that in the worst case scenario the trade war would cut a percentage point off China’s GDP growth. Photo: AP
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A member of the audience at the event in Beijing said that despite the official’s frank assessment, he did not seem too worried about the long-term effects of China’s spat with the US.

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