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China economy
EconomyChina Economy

China talks up the value of yuan as Donald Trump’s trade war hits currency rate

  • Head of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange says will keep the yuan stable at a ‘reasonable and balanced level’, despite tariff pressure
  • Analysts now expect yuan to stay above the psychologically important level of 7.00 to the US dollar at least until midyear

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Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen on a counter of a branch of a commercial bank in Beijing, China. Photo: Reuters
Karen Yeung

China is unlikely to allow the yuan to fall below the psychologically important level of 7.00 against the dollar, at least in the near term, judging by statements made by its top foreign exchange regulator on Sunday.

Pan Gongsheng, chief of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (Safe), said that the yuan’s value is strongly supported by the country’s economic and financial fundamentals. Pan talked up the value of the yuan at a time when an escalating trade war between China and the United States has soured market sentiment about its prospects and created downward pressure on the Chinese currency.

“We absolutely have the fundamentals, the confidence and the ability to keep China’s foreign exchange market stable and keep the yuan exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level,” Pan, also a deputy governor at the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), said in an interview with Financial News, a newspaper run by the central bank.

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The yuan has not breached the 7.00 threshold since the 2008 global financial crisis, but only because policymakers have cautiously kept the level in check.

China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange (Safe), said that the yuan’s value is strongly supported by the country’s economic and financial fundamentals. Photo: Reuters
China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange (Safe), said that the yuan’s value is strongly supported by the country’s economic and financial fundamentals. Photo: Reuters
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The Chinese government has been particularly interventionist since the start of the 2015-2016 domestic stock market crash. Since then, Beijing has burned through about US$1 trillion worth of foreign exchange reserves to prop up the yuan and imposed draconian controls on outbound investment and payments.
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