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US-China trade war
EconomyChina Economy

As US-China trade talks resume, how much demand does Beijing have for American farm goods?

  • US soybean exports have largely been replaced by those from Brazil, with the situation complicated by the impact of African swine fever
  • US trade representative Robert Lighthizer is set to lead a US team to Shanghai next week to meet with Vice-Premier Liu He and Commerce Minister Zhong Shan

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Chinese Customs data shows that In the first six months of the marketing year, between October 2018 and March 2019, China bought just 2.7 million metric tonnes of US soybeans. Photo: AP
Finbarr Berminghamin Brussels

With negotiators from China and the United States set to have their first face-to-face talks since May next week, the likelihood of a large Chinese purchase of American agricultural goods appears to be growing.

US President Donald Trump met with technology executives in Washington on Monday, amid expectations that he will ease the ban on US companies supplying components to Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei. Chinese officials have said that an easing of the Huawei ban was a precondition for making large purchases of US farm goods.
China’s state media reported on Sunday that Chinese firms have started making purchase enquiries to US agricultural exporters and applying for exemptions from Beijing’s tariffs. Analysts are speculating as to the scale of potential purchases, which have fallen away significantly since the trade war began in July 2018.
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US Department of Agriculture (USDA) data from last week showed that China had made a 51,072 metric tonne purchase of sorghum, despite the grain being subject to a 25 per cent import tariff. This was the largest weekly purchase since April, but also came in the same week that China cancelled a 9,853 metric tonne purchase of soybeans. China’s imports of US soybeans have plummeted since the trade war began, but given the scale of its demand over recent years, soybeans are likely to be high on negotiators’ agenda.

US soybean imports plummet under trade war
US soybean imports plummet under trade war
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Speaking to reporters in Washington on Tuesday, US Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue confirmed that agricultural purchases were underway.

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