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China’s yuan soars above key level against US dollar on hopes that Trump considering ditching some tariffs

  • Yuan surged back above key psychological level of 7 to the US dollar on reports that Donald Trump could agree to removing tariffs on China in phase one trade deal
  • Market expectations for further yuan decline have completely evaporated, analysts say, amid surprise suggestion of more significant trade deal than expected

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Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in a counting machine while a clerk counts them at a branch of a commercial bank in Beijing, China. Photo: Reuters
Karen Yeung

China’s yuan surged on Tuesday to its highest level against the US dollar since August amid rising optimism that US President Donald Trump would agree to roll back tariffs on Chinese imports.

The phase one deal, which may be signed later this month by Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at a yet-to-be determined location, is widely expected to include a US pledge to scrap tariffs that are scheduled for December 15 on about US$156 billion worth of Chinese imports, including mobile phones, laptops and toys.
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Officials in Beijing demanded that Washington take a further step and retract some existing levies on Chinese goods for the first time since the start of the trade war in July 2018, a step that has been resisted by Trump to date. However, White House officials are now debating whether to remove or scale back levies on US$112 billion of Chinese goods, including clothing, appliances and flat-screen monitors, which were introduced at a 15 per cent rate on September 1, the Financial Times reported citing five unnamed sources.

In response, the yuan jumped by 0.59 per cent to 6.9890, breaking a key resistance level of 7.00 to the dollar, as traders and fund managers closed position betting against a rise in the currency that triggered a wave of automatic trades set up to avoid losses. The yuan’s rise also pulled up other regional currencies, including the South Korean won, the Taiwanese dollar and Singapore’s dollar.

“This [would be] totally unexpected by the US side,” said Ken Cheung Kin-tai, chief Asian currency strategist at Mizuho Bank, on the prospect of tariff removal. “If tariffs are being removed, that could really mark a major turning point in the trade war. It may not even be a mini-deal or just a ceasefire, but a much more significant trade deal to be signed.”

The yuan jumped by 0.59 per cent to 6.9890 on Tuesday, breaking a key resistance level of 7.00 to the dollar. Photo: AFP
The yuan jumped by 0.59 per cent to 6.9890 on Tuesday, breaking a key resistance level of 7.00 to the dollar. Photo: AFP
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