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The relaxation of the restrictions could help local government to realise their infrastructure spending plans, with at least 20 provinces having already published details of projects with a combined value of 7.5 trillion yuan (US$1 billion) for 2020. Photo: Xinhua

China’s relaxed land rules could speed up urbanisation, offer economic boost amid coronavirus

  • The State Council, China’s cabinet, lifts restrictions to allow provinces to use certain farmland for development without prior approval
  • Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Anhui, and Chongqing handed extra allowance under one-year trial

China has made a small but significant tweak in its rigid land management system that could accelerate urbanisation, especially in large cities and affluent coastal areas, that could spur urban development in a bid to keep growth on track amid the outbreak.

And while the overall benefits from the change will be largely long term, with significant stress already placed on China’s economy amid the ongoing coronavirus outbreak, it could allow local authorities more flexibility if Beijing opts to turn to state-led capital spending led by infrastructure investment to support growth.

All provinces will now be allowed to use farmland not already classified as “permanent arable land” for development purposes without first obtaining approval the central government, China’s cabinet, the State Council, said last week.

But under a one-year trial, eight rich municipalities and provinces, namely Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Anhui, and Chongqing, will also be allowed to use “permanent arable land” for development.

The intention, first and foremost, is to improve the efficiency of land uses … and one of the outcomes would be more land supply [for urban development]
Yao Wei

Local authorities, though, are still subject to annual quotas for land use and farmland protection.

While the change only represents a slight relaxation in China’s land use management regime, with major urban development plans still subject to approval by Beijing, analysts believe the change could lead to far-reaching changes to China’s urban development, municipal fiscal situations and the economic landscape.
And while the overall benefits from the change will be largely long term, with significant stress already placed on China’s economy amid the ongoing coronavirus outbreak, it could allow local authorities more flexibility if Beijing opts to turn to state-led capital spending led by infrastructure investment to support growth.

“This is undoubtedly a very important reform,” said Yao Wei, chief China economist from French Bank Societe Generale. “The intention, first and foremost, is to improve the efficiency of land uses … and one of the outcomes would be more land supply [for urban development].”

In China, all land is publicly owned, but in reality, local municipal authorities control urban land resources, while farmland is collectively owned by farmers.

China officially requires 120 million hectares (297 million acres) of arable land to allow the country to be self-sufficient, but the rigid land management system is seen as increasingly out of touch.

In China’s more affluent areas, including Shenzhen and Shanghai, where land for new factories and office buildings is increasingly scarce, they still must maintain a significant area of land for farming. Shenzhen, for example, must maintain at least 4,288 hectares (10,600 acres) of farmland, including 2,000 hectares of permanent arable land.

Land use control has always been an important policy tool in China’s economic system, as important as monetary policy
Qiao Shitong
At the same time, delegation of power to local governments has also raised concerns among some researchers about forceful land grabs, which have been rampant amid China’s urbanisation over the past decades, creating one of the biggest sources of social unrest.

Millions of Chinese farmers are believed to have lost their land, willingly or unwillingly, as part of China’s urbanisation, according to reviews of government data.

Qiao Shitong, a professor of property and urban law at the University of Hong Kong, found that local governments “illegally” took away land from 100,000 to 500,000 farmers every year between 2005 to 2015.

“Land use control has always been an important policy tool in China’s economic system, as important as monetary policy,” Qiao said.

The latest relaxation of the restrictions could help local government to realise their infrastructure spending plans, with at least 20 provinces having already published details of projects with a combined value of 7.5 trillion yuan (US$1 billion) for 2020.

Previously, the land management system also treated all areas the same, leading to inefficient land distribution between coastal and inland provinces, with the new policy indicating a strategic change in China’s view of urbanisation.

After 2003, Beijing distributed more land to the poor middle and western provinces, while tightening the supply in the east cost to achieve a balanced growth across China. But the policy only led to the creation of ghost towns and industrial estates in less developed inland provinces and surging house prices in wealthier areas in the east.

My concern is that this policy could encourage places particularly those that have net outflows of people to overbuild to boost fixed asset investment and local [gross domestic product]
Lu Ming
In Shanghai, a limited land supply forced the city place a cap on its intended population, removing migrant workers, in a phenomenon known as de-urbanisation. It has also been instructed to maintain 239,300 hectares (592,000 acres) for farmland in 2020.

“My concern is that this policy could encourage places particularly those that have net outflows of people to overbuild to boost fixed asset investment and local [gross domestic product]. If that happens, it could lead to a wave of wasted buildings again,” said Lu Ming, an economics professor from Shanghai Jiao Tong University.

In a dramatic change in August, Chinese President Xi Jinping said the government should give more development land to larger cities to accommodate more industries and migrant workers.

A study, led by Tsinghua University using mapping data from Baidu, China’s search engine, found that from 2016 to 2018, the population of a third of more than 3,000 cities – defined by economic concentrations not by administrative boundaries – dropped.

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This article appeared in the South China Morning Post print edition as: Relaxed rules on land may speed up urbanisation
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