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Coronavirus pandemic
EconomyChina Economy

Coronavirus: China’s unemployment crisis mounts, but nobody knows true number of jobless

  • As many as 205 million Chinese workers cannot find jobs or are unable to return to their previous posts, according to one analyst
  • Debate over China’s unemployment reality amid coronavirus heats up, with holes picked in official government statistics

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Now a debate is raging in China, as statisticians crunch their own numbers, trying to put a figure on how many people in China have lost their jobs due to the lockdown and the stop-start recovery effort. Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen
Frank Tang

Yu Zhixiang received his redundancy notice in early-March, while he was on sick leave, weeks after the coronavirus outbreak forced Chinese economy to come to a standstill.

The 47-year-old had worked as a contract translator on Beijing’s Financial Street, home to many of China’s largest banks and the nation’s central bank. He was one of millions, maybe even tens of millions, of Chinese people who lost their jobs during the outbreak, but who were not immediately reflected in national unemployment data.

In the United States, data on the number of Americans filing their first claim for unemployment benefits each week offers a relatively up-to-date reading of the national jobless situation. But in China, jobless indicators are released on a monthly or even quarterly basis, and cover only part of the workforce.

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The most widely cited figure, the surveyed urban unemployment rate issued by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), jumped to an all-time high of 6.2 per cent in January and February combined, up from 5.2 per cent in December. This roughly equated to an additional 5 million people thrown out of work.

The indicator, however, almost certainly underestimates the real jobless picture in the world’s second largest economy, since it excludes the many migrant workers who lost their jobs or could not return to work because of the travel restrictions put in place to prevent the spread of the coronavirus.
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Now a debate is raging in China, as statisticians crunch their own numbers, trying to put a figure on how many people in China have lost their jobs due to the lockdown and the stop-start recovery effort.

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