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Hong Kong national security law
EconomyChina Economy

Hong Kong security law: any US attempt to destroy city’s financial hub status would be a challenge, analysts say

  • Hong Kong’s financial industry closely watching fallout from China’s imposition of security law on city
  • US moves to undermine Hong Kong dollar peg or city’s status as financial hub would be difficult, analysts say

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China’s plans to impose a security law on Hong Kong have raised fears about the future of the city. Photo: May Tse
Cissy Zhou

Hong Kong is unlikely to see mass relocations of financial firms over China’s plans to impose a security law on the city, though many in the sector are watching keenly for more details, analysts said at a South China Morning Post webinar on Friday.

Beijing’s decision to move ahead with the law, which some say will erode the city’s autonomy from the mainland and its position as Asia’s top finance hub, has ratcheted up tensions with the United States.

The Trump administration has said it will revoke Hong Kong’s special trade status over the legislation, possibly paving the way for sanctions.

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However, US sanctions on China for imposing the law would be a “lose-lose” proposition that would be difficult to implement in practice, said Louis Kuijs, head of Asia Economics at Oxford Economics.

There is a war chest of Hong Kong for US dollars that is supporting Hong Kong's peg … it would not be even so easy for the US to take measures to try to destroy it
Louis Kuijs

Hao Hong, head of research and chief strategist at Bocom International, said investors were waiting for more information, but any move to destroy Hong Kong’s status as a financial hub would be a “challenge”.

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