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China economy
EconomyChina Economy

Could the China-US conflict evolve into two competing spheres of economic influence?

  • New economic initiatives from China and the US point to competition between a ‘belt and road order’ and ‘liberal international order’, analysts say
  • US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is expected to meet with top Chinese diplomat Yang Jiechi on Wednesday to try to de-escalate growing tensions

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Chinese Politburo member Yang Jiechi and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (centre) will meet in Hawaii on Wednesday. Photo: EPA-EFE
Karen Yeung

The increasingly contentious relationship between China and the United States is putting pressure on countries to choose sides, with the Covid-19 pandemic accelerating the process of nations stepping away from each other rather than tackling the crisis together.

If current trends continue in the long run, there could be a reordering of the global economy into two major competing spheres of influence, one centred on the US and the other on China, analysts said.

Beijing and Washington’s already strained relationship has worsened this year, with the two sides sparring over the coronavirus pandemic, the new Hong Kong national security law, anti-racism protests sparked by the killing of African-American George Floyd, and military activities in the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea.

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On Wednesday, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is expected to meet Yang Jiechi, a member of the Communist Party Politburo and one of the nation’s top diplomats, to try to defuse the growing conflict. But whether the Hawaii talks will result in a detente that slows a long-term decoupling trend is unclear.

04:12

Are Xi Jinping’s China and Donald Trump’s US destined for armed conflict?

Are Xi Jinping’s China and Donald Trump’s US destined for armed conflict?
A key obstacle is China’s adoption of an increasingly aggressive diplomatic stance as it pushes its top international policy ambition, the Belt and Road Initiative, as an alternative economic path on the world stage.
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