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China’s interest in Pacific trade deal sets stage for new US showdown after Xi Jinping ups the ante

  • Xi Jinping’s statement of intent on the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) has caught the eye of member states
  • Analysts say Joe Biden’s election sparked firming up of Beijing’s interest, but uncertainty remains as to the US direction of travel under new administration

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Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam are the current members of the CPTPP. Illustration: Lau Ka-kuen

On the heels of signing the world’s biggest free trade deal, President Xi Jinping’s announcement that China “will actively consider” joining a formerly American-backed accord has sent a ripple of intrigue across the Pacific Rim.

That it comes just weeks after Joe Biden’s US election win thickens the plot further still, with speculation running high as to whether the United States could also return in some shape or form to a deal dumped by Donald Trump in his first week in office.
After three years of relative obscurity, the spotlight is back on the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), a higher grade, more modern trade deal than the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) signed by China and 14 other nations just over a week ago.
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In Beijing, Xi’s statement is seen as the surest sign yet of genuine interest in the deal to date, following Premier Li Keqiang’s comments in May that “China has a positive and open attitude toward joining the CPTPP”.

Former officials and analysts say Biden being confirmed as the US president-elect ahead of his inauguration in January may be the galvanising force for Beijing‘s interest.

With the new US government coming in and a lot of uncertainty to follow, Beijing is now first making this stance on being interested in joining CPTPP the country’s official stance on this matter
Wei Jianguo

“With the new US government coming in and a lot of uncertainty to follow, Beijing is now first making this stance on being interested in joining CPTPP the country’s official stance on this matter,” said Wei Jianguo, China’s former vice-minister of commerce responsible for foreign trade, adding that there will be “practical moves by Chinese officials to follow”.

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