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China’s trade disputes with Australia, US and Japan push Beijing to alter course and plan accordingly
- Experts say geopolitical and trade rifts could persist, but China is also looking to join larger multi-country pacts
- Tech-related targets make up a big part of China’s five-year plan through 2025, but it could take years for innovation goals to be realised
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Snagged on trade disputes with key partners, China is expected to focus this year largely on multilateral agreements and its own hi-tech development for sustained economic growth.
The World Bank in December forecast 5.1 per cent gross domestic product growth for China in 2022 – one of the slowest rates of the past half-century for a country long dependent on exports from its massive factory complexes.
A four-year dispute with the United States has also generated a combined US$550 billion in import tariffs, mostly aimed at China. That rift is unlikely to close this year, according to Jayant Menon, a visiting senior fellow with the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute’s Regional Economic Studies Programme in Singapore.
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“China’s trade policy with respect to the United States has been more reactionary than anything else – responding to, rather than initiating, changes on a tit-for-tat basis,” he said.
Since 2020, Chinese traders have quit importing Australian coal, sugar, barley, lobsters, wine, copper and log timber – in response to political tension between the two countries.
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