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China’s digital currency, known as the e-yuan, has undergone several pilot programmes, including at the Winter Olympics. Photo: Simon Song

Analysis | China’s fintech ecosystem is the world’s largest, but will Beijing’s tech crackdowns affect the landscape?

  • China’s economy is largely cashless, and it has the highest penetration rate of fintech services among major economies, at 87 per cent
  • Even with Beijing reining in big tech companies, experts say China’s fintech sector looks to remain competitive
Fintech

China carved out a lead in fintech services over the past decade, with big tech firms having taken the lead on the back of deregulated government policies and surging public demand for electronic payment options.

As a result, the world’s second-largest economy is largely cashless, and mobile payments via private-sector platforms are ubiquitous in commerce.

Meanwhile, Beijing has been rolling out a central bank digital currency that has undergone several pilot programmes throughout the country, including being used by foreign visitors during the recent Winter Olympics.

And China has become a magnet for fintech investments, with the total growing from US$900 million in the second half of 2020 to more than US$1.3 billion in the first half of 2021, according to an analysis by accounting firm KPMG.

As US wades into digital currency arena, China’s e-yuan has a big head start

However, uncertainties have arisen as Beijing stepped up its crackdowns on big tech companies such as Alibaba, particularly in the past year, but analysts expect China’s fintech sector to remain competitive. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.

In China, mobile payments are not only used by the relatively tech-savvy urban population, but also increasingly by people in rural areas.

Data from audit firm Ernst & Young, published in June, showed that mainland China had the highest penetration rate of fintech services among major economies, at 87 per cent, according to its 2019 index.

The rate was about 67 per cent in Hong Kong, Singapore and South Korea.

China has all the ingredients for high fintech penetration … allowing it to leapfrog to purely digital payments on smartphones
Martin Chorzempa, Peterson Institute for International Economics

China also leads in terms of small and medium-sized enterprises adopting fintech services, among major and emerging economies.

Experts attribute this, for the most part, to China’s economy skipping the credit card phase between cash and digital payments.

“China has all the ingredients for high fintech penetration: network infrastructure, high smartphone penetration, and an analogue financial system that provided poor service, allowing it to leapfrog to purely digital payments on smartphones,” said Martin Chorzempa, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Richard Turrin, author of Cashless: China’s Digital Currency Revolution, said China’s high penetration of fintech services resulted from the central bank’s decision to allow big tech companies Alibaba and Tencent to enter the payment space in 2014.

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“The People’s Bank of China correctly decided that China needed to further digitise its financial system, and that big tech could do this better than the banks. This resulted in Alipay and WeChat Pay launching in 2014 and fundamentally changing payment in China,” he told the Post.

China’s major cities are considered top hubs for fintech services. In the London-based think tank Z/Yen’s Global Financial Centres Index 30 report, published in October, China had three cities among the world’s top 10 fintech centres, with Shanghai listed second after New York, followed by Beijing at fifth and Shenzhen at seventh.

Seoul and Tokyo, the capitals of neighbouring economies South Korea and Japan, lagged behind at 11th and 16th, respectively.

China has reached the stage where technologies such as big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence and blockchain have all been applied to fintech.

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The government mostly allowed tech companies to develop their services and grow exponentially, until recent years when it began tightening the regulatory screws.

Authorities’ widening clampdown on platform giants – ranging from anti-competition practices to data-security breaches and abuse of algorithms – is expected to curb the growth of these companies, according to analysts.

The stronger regulatory stance is seen by some as the government seeking to undermine the dominance of tech firms while assuming a greater role in the fintech scene.

But experts said the regulations could have positive effects as well.

“China’s fintech sector is under a cloud of increasing regulation in the data and financial space, which will provide headwinds, but it is possible that the restraints on the top firms will allow a more robust ecosystem of niche players to grow,” Chorzempa said.

The entire nation is focused on digital … It will be tough for other countries to keep up with China’s fintech
Richard Turrin, author
The role of big tech firms may diminish, and other developing economies could heat up the race on the global stage with rapid advancements, but China has clear intentions of maintaining its lead. Turrin referred to the country’s 14th five-year plan that includes a section about boosting the digital economy.
China is seeking greater application of data and key technologies in fintech, and is looking to set up green data centres and systems that will serve as an enhanced base for financial innovation, while stepping up regulatory oversight.

“It makes clear not just that China must seize opportunities, and not just in fintech, but for everything from e-commerce to broadband internet,” Turrin said.

“The entire nation is focused on digital. That’s why it will be tough for other countries to keep up with China’s fintech, and even harder for them to surpass this.”

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