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China’s property market slump and weak demand highlight fragile economic recovery

  • China’s economy faces weak demand and fallout from a property market downturn at home
  • Relying on infrastructure investment alone is not enough to bolster the economy, some analysts say

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China’s property downturn is weighing on the whole economy, as the real estate sector and related industries account for about one third of GDP. Photo: AFP
Orange Wang

An unexpected contraction in China’s factory activity in July has highlighted the stubborn headwinds facing the world’s No 2 economy, a situation that may demand more active fiscal measures and support for the ailing property sector, according to analysts.

The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) slid from 50.2 in June to 49 last month, well below the 50-mark that separates growth from contraction on a monthly basis. A private survey also declined more sharply than analysts expected.

“The fastest period of recovery after the economic reopening is close to an end, with insufficient demand becoming a major constraint,” China Minsheng Bank said in a note on Sunday.

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The private bank said the economy faced twin threats: weak demand overseas, with developed economies slipping into recession; while consumption and the real estate market were sluggish at home.

Simply relying on infrastructure investment was not enough to bolster the economy and more policy support was needed, the bank said.

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