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Apple it expected lower iPhone 14 Pro and 14 Pro Max shipments than previously, and Foxconn also revised down its fourth-quarter growth. Photo: EPA-EFE

Global Impact: Zero-Covid’s liabilities adding up after Foxconn factory disruptions hit iPhone shipments

  • Global Impact is a fortnightly curated newsletter featuring a news topic originating in China with a significant macro impact for our newsreaders around the world
  • In this edition, we looks at how China’s zero-Covid policy recently claimed another victim as scenes from the world’s largest iPhone factory grabbed headlines
There are no winners in China’s game of Whac-A-Mole that the government is calling “dynamic zero-Covid”, which has hammered the country’s economy and sent growth to lows not seen in decades. This has never been more apparent than when the world’s largest iPhone factory in Zhengzhou started restricting workers, spooking employees to the point of a mass exodus.
Foxconn, the world’s largest contract electronics manufacturer, has faced coronavirus-related troubles before. But this was the first time that the deep impact on Apple, the world’s largest technology company, was unmistakable. The company said it expected lower iPhone 14 Pro and 14 Pro Max shipments than previously, and Foxconn also revised down its fourth-quarter growth.
Zero-Covid is nothing new for China residents. They have been living with it for nearly three years. But the recent outbreak in central Henan province was an especially bad look. Workers at Foxconn’s premiere iPhone plant complained of terrible living conditions and a fear of falling sick because of poor medical care.
Some things have improved in the past couple of weeks, with workers saying they now have access to medicine while under quarantine. But this came after many workers left in droves.

01:33

Chinese workers flee world’s largest iPhone factory after Covid outbreak

Chinese workers flee world’s largest iPhone factory after Covid outbreak
Foxconn has scrambled to retain assembly line workers as the US enters the busiest shopping season of the year ahead of the holidays. The manufacturer offered a US$70 subsidy to try to woo some of its workers back, and it quadrupled its daily cash bonus to 400 yuan (US$56) to get people to stay.

While it is just one company, Foxconn’s size and role in the electronics supply chains of the world’s largest tech brands makes it strategically important for China. The Zhengzhou plant alone employed nearly 300,000 people at its peak.

Because the factory is a vital local employer, village cadres started reaching out to former employees to persuade them to return to work. In one county, the local veterans affairs bureau even urged People’s Liberation Army veterans to work at the facility.
For now, China remains too critical to supply chains for companies to ditch the market, but large tech firms are hedging their bets.
Apple has already been increasing manufacturing in India, and rivals such as Samsung have long since started building up capacity in other markets, with Vietnam being another popular destination.
China’s government has so far refused to ditch its virus-control policies. Yet, it recognises the damage to the economy and has promised more support to avoid a hard landing as the world appears to be headed for a recession.

However, zero-Covid was just a catalyst for companies to more rapidly expand supply chains outside China, as many tech-related operations have increasingly become caught up in geopolitical tensions.

An intensifying US-China tech war has already had immense implications for the semiconductor industry, and tech companies are feeling the heat.
Apple CEO Tim Cook said this week that the company would be buying chips from a plant in Arizona, likely referring to the US$12 billion Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company facility that is still under construction. This news came not long after Apple said it was ditching plans to source from Chinese memory chip maker YMTC.

01:27

Covid lockdowns spark rare protest in southern Chinese city of Guangzhou

Covid lockdowns spark rare protest in southern Chinese city of Guangzhou
Mainland China’s semiconductor plants cannot yet make the advanced chips needed to power an iPhone, but the country has been making headway in memory chips. When Washington again increased export restrictions in October, YMTC was among the hardest hit as the US weighed blacklisting the firm.
The semiconductor industry’s troubles illustrate how the tech war and zero-Covid are working together to hammer the world’s second-largest economy, which was already slowing before the pandemic. The domestic chip industry saw its largest monthly decline ever in October, and a decline in chip imports accelerated in the first 10 months of the year.
It is no coincidence that Shanghai, China’s semiconductor hub, saw a huge disruption earlier this year by a citywide lockdown. Shanghai-based Semiconductor International Manufacturing Corporation, the country’s largest chip maker, also said US export controls would affect fourth-quarter revenue.

01:30

China’s zero-Covid policy under pressure as infections rise in major cities

China’s zero-Covid policy under pressure as infections rise in major cities
Other Apple suppliers have been caught up in the same troubles. Shandong-based Goertek was seen as another victim of the push to diversify supply chains when Apple ditched its acoustics components used in AirPods.
Mainland China facilities of Pegatron, a Taiwanese manufacturer, were also hit by lockdowns in Shanghai this year. The company then became caught up in US-China tensions amid rumours that its shipments had been delayed, possibly over a labelling dispute, which the company denied.

Still, China is the undisputed leader in global manufacturing. Beijing may be betting on investment returning once zero-Covid restrictions are lifted – a day still nowhere in sight – but geopolitical tensions will not go away so easily. Whether it’s Apple, Samsung or any other multinational conglomerate carefully managing its brand, the trend of slowly diversifying supply chains away from China looks to continue.

60 second catch-up

Deep Dives

Photo: Reuters

Anger inside the world’s largest iPhone factory as Covid-19 spreads

  • Workers complain about unpunctual food deliveries and lack of medical care as Foxconn’s Zhengzhou campus grapples with a Covid-19 outbreak

  • The company has not revealed how many positive cases have been found on campus nor how many workers are under quarantine

Workers at the world’s largest iPhone factory, run by Foxconn Technology Group in the central Chinese city of Zhengzhou, have turned to social media for help amid strict pandemic control measures on campus that have been imposed since last week to curb a small Covid-19 outbreak.

Workers shared texts, photos and videos of chaotic scenes and voiced their anger on platforms including microblogging site Weibo and TikTok’s Chinese version Douyin, with many raising concerns that cases may have been under-reported, putting employees at high risk of infections.

Photo: Bloomberg

China’s iPhone city goes to extreme lengths to meet zero-Covid demands

  • Zhengzhou authorities ordered the disinfection of all public places and residential buildings, a practice that proved controversial in Shanghai

  • Some of the 27 new Covid-19 cases were on the local Foxconn campus, where workers described terrible living conditions at the world’s largest iPhone factory

Zhengzhou, known as China’s iPhone city, is going to extremes to curb Covid-19 infections by disinfecting all public places and residential buildings, according to a notice posted online.

The government of the capital of China’s central Henan province told residents to take heed of the new measures that will take place from Friday evening to Saturday morning, according to a post on the city’s official WeChat account.

Photo: Bloomberg

South Korea caught in the middle of US-China chip war, but American export control requests unlikely

  • The South Korean semiconductor industry relies on the United States for equipment needed to make chips, while China is the sector’s largest export destination

  • Seoul is reportedly gearing up to join the US-led Chip 4 alliance, but Washington is unlikely ask the government to impose export restrictions, industry insiders say

South Korea is facing a complex balancing act as it finds itself positioned in the middle of an intensifying tech war between the United States and its biggest semiconductor chip trading partner China.

The South Korean government has reached a decision internally to join the US-led Chip 4 alliance, and is coordinating the right timing to announce it, an anonymous Korean government insider recently told local media.
Photo: Shutterstock Images

Foxconn’s latest disruptions in Zhengzhou highlight supply chain risks in China, prompting more production in Vietnam and India

  • The recent exodus of workers from the world’s largest iPhone factory marks the latest disruption in Apple’s manufacturing supply chain in China

  • Foxconn and other Apple suppliers have already started to shift some production capacity to Vietnam and India

Apple supplier Foxconn Technology Group’s latest Covid-19-related disruptions at its compound in the central city of Zhengzhou, where the world’s largest iPhone factory is located, signals the increased demand for major manufacturers to diversify their supply chain outside China, according to analysts.
The recent exodus of thousands of workers from Foxconn’s Covid-19-hit Zhengzhou compound marks the latest disruption in Apple’s contract manufacturing network on the mainland, following extended community lockdowns in the first half of this year and the threat of power restrictions across the country last year.
Photo: Reuters

China deploys village cadres to help Foxconn hire workers in bid to secure nation’s role in Apple’s iPhone supply chain

  • Workers who fled from Foxconn’s gated factory compound in Zhengzhou over the past weeks said they have received recruitment calls from village cadres

  • The involvement of grass-roots officials in recruiting workers underscores Foxconn’s importance to the local economy as a key exporter and taxpayer

Central China’s Henan province is mobilising its grass-roots governance system to help recruit workers for the world’s largest iPhone factory, run by Foxconn Technology Group in the provincial capital Zhengzhou, in an uncharacteristic move by the local government to safeguard the country’s position in Apple’s supply chain.

The help came after draconian Covid-19 lockdowns have disrupted production at the plant, which usually employs more than 200,000 workers, prompting Apple to issue a rare statement warning about a slowdown in shipments of the iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max, and raising questions about whether China is still the ideal production hub for Apple.

Illustration: Henry Wong

China’s chip executives brace for winter as US sanctions push country’s semiconductor industry to the brink of desperation

  • At first, US sanctions helped trigger a boom in China’s chip industry as firms pushed to meet Beijing’s call for technological self-reliance

  • Most executives from Chinese chip firms predict that 2023 will be worse than this year, adding that they are ‘preparing for winter’

On a recent Wednesday afternoon in Shanghai, the founder of a semiconductor start-up spotted the head of a well-known chip venture capital firm near the elevator at an industry event – and grabbed the chance for a 60-second “elevator pitch”. The venture executive walked away and the entrepreneur was left with a sense of foreboding.

“I’ll run out of money soon if there’s no new investment,” said the founder, who declined to be named because of the sensitivity of the topic. “It is not as easy as two years ago, when [former US president Donald] Trump first started to impose sanctions on the industry and largely hyped up the semiconductor investment circle in China,” he told the South China Morning Post.

Illustration: Henry Wong

Tech war: China’s semiconductor ambitions face moment of reckoning as Washington launches all-out siege

  • One analyst report went as far as to say many of China’s chip firms will be ‘destroyed, damaged, or circumscribed’ by the latest US export controls

  • One immediate response may be to seek leniency from the US through compliance, particularly for the 31 companies added to the unverified list

The sweeping chip technology export controls imposed on China by the US are being viewed by some Chinese as the modern day equivalent of the Soviet Union’s withdrawal of technical support for Mao Zedong’s efforts to build the A-bomb.

After a severe political split between the two communist countries, Moscow ordered its nuclear scientists to leave China in 1960. However, it was only a temporary setback for Mao, as China conducted its first successful A-bomb detonation in 1964.

Photo: Shutterstock

Tech war: China to host world forum on semiconductors in the shadow of Covid-19 controls, latest US hi-tech export restrictions

  • China will host the 2022 World Conference on Integrated Circuits from November 16 to 18 in Hefei, capital of eastern Anhui province

  • A communique on the ‘Hefei Initiative’ will be unveiled at the event, as part of calls to strengthen the stability of semiconductor supply chains

China will kick off a major international semiconductor forum next week, as Beijing seeks to project stability in the nation’s chip supply chain amid the latest hi-tech export controls rolled out by the United States.
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) and the government of eastern Anhui province will jointly host the 2022 World Conference on Integrated Circuits from November 16 to 18 in the provincial capital of Hefei, which recently launched subsidies and policies that support local semiconductor technology development.

Global Impact is a fortnightly curated newsletter featuring a news topic originating in China with a significant macro impact for our newsreaders around the world.

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