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Taiwan’s economy inches upwards but misses target as AI tech demand fails to materialise

  • Taiwan has released its GDP growth numbers for the third quarter, avoiding contraction but landing shy of the government’s target
  • Figures arrive as global demand for artificial intelligence and related technology reaches new heights, raising questions on how the tech hub can capitalise

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Taiwan’s tech industry continues to fuel the island’s economy, but high demand for AI applications has yet to translate into high levels of GDP growth. Photo: EPA-EFE

Taiwan’s economy grew 2.32 per cent in the third quarter, falling short of a government forecast and reflecting only mild interest in the island’s signature hi-tech gear even as artificial intelligence (AI) gains traction worldwide.

The quarter of growth brought Taiwan’s gross domestic product (GDP) to US$191.6 billion and kept the economy out of a slump for a second quarter in a row, but missed the official target of 2.54 per cent.

Globally, the AI market is expected to grow 17.3 per cent from this year through 2030 riding a wave of demand for chatbots, blockchain, and healthcare automation applications, market research firm Statista has forecast.

Taiwan already supplies about 60 per cent of the world’s semiconductor chips. Industry leaders and economists have said they expect more orders eventually for graphic processing units, memory chips, storage hardware and other components that aid AI transactions.

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But the third quarter’s figures show only a nascent beginning for that possible upcycle.

“We’re seeing the tech sector in general drawing down inventory,” said Tony Phoo, an economist with Standard Chartered Bank in Taipei. “We are watching out for data that will suggest that the global demand for consumer electronics has stabilised.”

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Taiwan’s exports tapered over the past year because of a decline in world purchases of PCs and smartphones, as the pandemic-induced telework and home study boom has abated. Tech firms, which make up just under one-third of the economy, saw inventory grow during that period of heightened demand.

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