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US-China trade war
EconomyChina Economy

Why China sees US trade deals with partners as a threat – and how it could react

As Washington’s deadline looms, Beijing warns nations not to cut deals that hurt its interests – but how will it respond if ignored?

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US President Donald Trump meets with Japan’s Economic Revitalization Minister Ryosei Akazawa and his delegation in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., on April 16, 2025. Photo: Reuters
Ralph Jennings

Beijing has renewed its warning to other countries not to strike deals with the United States on terms that come at China’s expense – ahead of Washington’s looming deadline to conclude tariff negotiations with most of its trade partners.

Chinese officials are concerned that nations from Europe to Southeast Asia may enter into trade agreements with the US that divert supply chains, reduce bilateral trade with China or compel governments to exit Beijing-led projects, analysts said on Monday.

“The first important one is not to shift the supply chain,” said Liang Yan, professor of economics at Willamette University. “There’s a possibility that other countries would disengage from China.”

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Issued over the weekend, Beijing’s latest warning echoed a similar statement in April. It came after US President Donald Trump hinted at lower tariffs or extended waivers for countries that negotiate in “good faith” – raising concerns in China, especially as many third countries maintain close ties with Washington, analysts said.

On April 2, the Trump administration imposed sweeping global tariffs – dubbing it “Liberation Day” – only to suspend most of the duties for 90 days to allow for talks.

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Beijing and Washington have reached a trade deal, after tit-for-tat tariffs escalated to above 100 per cent on both sides, but the negotiation window for most countries closes on July 9 – though few details have emerged so far.
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