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China’s sovereign debt is becoming a strategic alternative to US Treasuries: economist

Beijing is now offering dollar-denominated sovereign bonds at rates matching equivalent US Treasuries – and investors are snapping them up

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A bank employee counts stacks of Chinese yuan next to piles of US dollar notes at a bank in Bangkok. China’s sovereign debt is attracting more demand from investors as confidence wavers in the United States. Photo: Reuters
Xinyi Wuin Beijing
China’s sovereign debt is emerging as a strategic alternative to US Treasuries as global investors look for geopolitical hedges, though greater market liquidity and deeper yuan internationalisation are still needed to cement its status as a global safe haven, an economist at a Chinese government think tank has said.

“[These bonds] circumvent the restrictions of the non-convertibility of the renminbi,” said Xu Qiyuan, deputy director of the American Studies Institute at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, in a February report.

“At the same time, they possess high-grade sovereign credit backing and liquidity and minimise the risk of sanctions or asset freezes due to holding assets within the major US financial system, such as US Treasury bonds.”

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Xu’s comments came at a time of swirling debate in Chinese policy circles about how Beijing can capitalise on wavering investor confidence in the United States and the US dollar. The issue is expected to be a hot topic at the “two sessions” – the annual meetings of China’s top legislature and advisory body – beginning on Wednesday.

Xu said geopolitical hedges aligned with a strategic push by sovereign institutions to diversify their asset allocations. This demand was being further fuelled by a shortage of high-quality liquid assets, despite relatively abundant global liquidity, he added.

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He cited the robust demand for Beijing’s US$4 billion dollar-denominated sovereign bonds issued in Hong Kong last November – which matched the US’ borrowing costs for the first time – as an example.

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