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China's economic recovery
EconomyEconomic Indicators

China holds off on policy rate cut despite concerns over economic slowdown, but it’s ‘only a matter of time’

  • People’s Bank of China (PBOC) keeps rate on 200 billion yuan (US$31.44 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans unchanged
  • Rate on the loans to some financial institutions remained at 2.85 per cent despite concerns over a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy

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The People’s Bank of China held off on an anticipated cut to China’s policy interest rates on Tuesday. Photo: Bloomberg
Andrew Mullen

China held off on an anticipated cut to its policy interest rates on Tuesday as headline economic data beat expectations, but it is “only a matter of time” before policymakers take action to support the cooling economy, analysts said.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) kept the rate on 200 billion yuan (US$31.44 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions unchanged at 2.85 per cent.

It had been widely expected that the PBOC would lower the rate for a second time this year, having already cut the rate from 2.95 per cent to 2.85 per cent in January.

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But as retail sales, industrial production and fixed-asset investment data also released on Tuesday grew faster than expected, it allowed the PBOC to maintain the rate despite the ongoing crisis in Ukraine and surging coronavirus cases adding to economic headwinds.

“All three activity-data releases were better than expectations, but the highlight for us was the strength of retail sales. This is even more notable during a period of strict people flow control during the Chinese New Year holidays. This better-than-expected news has enabled the PBOC to hold policy rates steady,” said Iris Pang, chief economist for Greater China at ING.

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