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China's economic recovery
EconomyEconomic Indicators

China’s services sector activity shrinks to 6-month low as Covid-19 takes ‘heavy toll on economy’

  • Caixin services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 46.7 in November from 48.4 in October
  • Last week, the official non-manufacturing PMI, which measures business sentiment in the services and construction sectors, fell to 46.7 in November from 48.7 in October

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China’s Caixin services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 46.7 in November from 48.4 in October, data released on Monday showed. Photo: AP
Reuters

China’s services activity shrank to a six-month low in November as widening coronavirus containment measures weighed on demand and operations, a private-sector business survey showed on Monday, pointing to a further hit to economic growth.

The Caixin/S&P Global services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 46.7 from 48.4, marking the third monthly contraction in a row. The 50-point index mark separates growth from contraction on a monthly basis.
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The figure echoed weak data in a larger official survey on Wednesday, which showed services activity fell to a seven-month low.

New virus infections hit record highs in November. Analysts at Nomura estimated that areas in lockdowns accounted for about a quarter of China’s gross domestic product by the end of the month, choking domestic consumption, disrupting supply chains, and even stoking rare street protests across many cities.

Since October, the impact of Covid outbreaks has taken a heavy toll on the economy, and the challenge of how to balance Covid controls and economic growth has once again become a core issue
Wang Zhe

“Since October, the impact of Covid outbreaks has taken a heavy toll on the economy, and the challenge of how to balance Covid controls and economic growth has once again become a core issue,” said Wang Zhe, senior economist at Caixin Insight Group.

“The market is in urgent need of policies to promote employment and stabilise domestic demand. Beijing should further coordinate fiscal and monetary policies to expand domestic demand and boost incomes of the poorer parts of the population.”

An easing of antivirus curbs in some Chinese cities in the last few days has been met with a mix of relief and worry, as hundreds of millions await an expected shift in policies after widespread social unrest.

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Most analysts believe the road to an eventual reopening will be long and bumpy, and warn a further surge in infections this winter could see measures tightened again.

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