China’s manufacturing PMI falls for third month in a row highlighting 2024 challenges for world’s second-biggest economy

The factory activity gauge fell from 49.4 in November to 49 in December, a worse performance than forecasters had predicted

The data highlights the ongoing challenges the economy faces in getting back on track after a faltering recovery in 2023

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An unusually cold spell across much of the country contributed to a flatlining subindex for business activity in the services sector. Photo: AFP

Published: 11:59am, 31 Dec 2023Updated: 9:17am, 2 Jan 2024

China’s key factory activity gauge closed the year with a contraction for a third straight month, suggesting that the world’s second-biggest economy may need more policy support to accomplish Beijing’s economic stabilisation goals in 2024.

December’s official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 49 from November’s 49.4, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics released on Sunday.

This was much worse than the median forecast for 49.5 in a Reuters poll, as China’s first post-Covid year ended with a weaker-than-expected recovery.

Earlier this year, PMI readings fell for five months in a row starting in April. After a brief expansion in September, they started falling again in October.

A reading above 50 typically indicates expansion of activity, while a reading below that suggests a contraction.

The statistics bureau pointed to an “increasingly complicated, tough and uncertain” external environment as a key reason for the continued fall.

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