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China’s export machine defies gravity as shipments soar in May

After a strong April, China’s exports surged once again in May, as the country’s firms continue to shrug off the impact of the Iran war

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Containers are unloaded at a port in China’s eastern Shandong province. Photo: Getty Images
Mia Nurmamatin Hong KongandHe Huifengin Guangdong

China’s vast export sector continued to defy headwinds from the US-Israel war on Iran in May, as shipments skyrocketed on the back of increased demand for products related to artificial intelligence and a spike in US imports as trade relations continued to recover in the aftermath of the bilateral tariff war.

The country’s exports rose by 19.4 per cent year on year to US$376.78 billion in May, according to Chinese customs data released on Tuesday. The reading was significantly higher than a forecast of 12.39 per cent growth from economists polled by financial data provider Wind.

China also saw imports grow by 27.4 per cent last month to US$271.35 billion, surpassing projections of 20.15 per cent growth in a Wind poll. That brought China’s trade surplus to US$105.43 billion last month, up from US$84.82 billion in April.

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The readings followed an unexpectedly strong month for China’s exporters in April, when the country’s outbound shipments swelled despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

“The momentum is bolstered by the global AI story, with increased trade in electronics and higher prices driven by strong demand,” said Gary Ng, senior economist for the Asia-Pacific region at Natixis. “It shows that China remains competitive in exports, and that higher global inflation has not yet affected demand.”

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Markets had been eagerly awaiting this month’s data to gauge whether China’s export sector would be able to maintain that momentum in the face of rising global economic turbulence – and whether Trump’s recent visit to Beijing had affected trade between the world’s two largest economies.
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