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China economy
EconomyGlobal Economy

China’s economic recovery under spotlight as weak consumption, slowing factory output expose ‘unsustainable’ first quarter growth

  • Private consumption remained weak in April and industrial production slowed, showing vulnerabilities in China’s economic recovery
  • New data showed some parts of the economy, particularly the services sector and retail, were being ‘held back’ by pandemic uncertainty

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Private consumption remained weak in April and high commodity prices continue to prove a headache for businesses. Photo: AP
Orange Wang

China’s economic recovery remains disjointed and threatens to put the brakes on growth, analysts said on Monday, as new data showed activity across a range of sectors moderated far more than expected in April after a record expansion in the first quarter of the year.

Private consumption was still weak last month while high commodity prices continue to prove a headache for businesses in the world’s second largest economy, economists said.

The new data follows a warning last month from the Politburo about China’s “uneven” post-coronavirus economic recovery, something that was underlined again by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.

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Industrial production – a gauge of activity in the manufacturing, mining and utilities sectors – grew by 9.8 per cent from a year ago in April, down from 14.4 per cent in March, and slightly lower than a median forecast of 10 per cent from a Bloomberg survey of analysts.
There is nothing surprising, the extraordinary readings in the first quarter data were unsustainable
Xu Hongcai

A sharper slide came in retail sales, a key measurement of consumer spending in the world’s most populous nation, which grew 17.7 per cent last month from a year earlier, about half as fast as the 34.2 per cent expansion in the March and far below a projected rise of 25 per cent.

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