China’s January 1 silver curbs to deepen global crunch, analysts warn amid volatility
Beijing’s new export-licensing system seen squeezing foreign buyers, pushing price towards US$100 an ounce; Elon Musk joins warning chorus
The new rules replace a quota system in place since 2000. Under the stricter regime, exporters must meet rigorous standards: firms need to prove they executed silver exports annually from 2022 to 2024, while new applicants must demonstrate annual production exceeding 80 tonnes and consistent export records.
“Compared with gold, silver has delivered a markedly stronger performance,” said Antonio Di Giacomo, senior market analyst at global multi-asset broker XS.com, noting that the divergence between gold and silver reflects the latter’s hybrid nature.
“It acts as a safe-haven asset during periods of uncertainty while also benefiting directly from industrial and technological expansion, which explains its relatively higher volatility,” he added.
Spot silver briefly surpassed US$80 an ounce for the first time this month before retreating to the US$70 range.