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China trade
EconomyGlobal Economy

With US focused on Venezuela, China has window to pressure Japan: analysts

Beijing’s trade actions raise stakes with Tokyo, as China’s rare earth power and Japan’s chip dominance are seen as potentially key levers in their bilateral dispute

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A worker helps make semiconductor chips for export at a factory in China’s Shandong province. Japan has a commanding market share in semiconductor equipment and materials. Photo: AFP
Kandy Wong

Beijing is leveraging a distracted Washington to ratchet up pressure on Tokyo, launching an anti-dumping investigation into a key semiconductor chemical while the United States is preoccupied with Venezuela, according to analysts.

China made moves targeting Japan for two consecutive days. On Tuesday, the Ministry of Commerce banned exports of “dual-use” products to end users linked to the Japanese military. And on Wednesday, it said the anti-dumping investigation into dichlorosilane would last at least a year.

With China holding leverage over rare earths, while Japan has a commanding market share in semiconductor equipment and materials, analysts say both sides are testing each other’s baselines to assess how far this economic tit-for-tat can go.

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The bilateral row kicked off when Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi suggested on November 7 that Tokyo could respond militarily to a potential attack by Beijing on Taiwan, which Beijing sees as part of China to be reunited by force if necessary.
Beijing’s move “coincides with the Venezuela event for a reason”, said Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for the Asia-Pacific region at French investment bank Natixis, referring to Saturday’s abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro by US forces.
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China might believe that the US is preoccupied with the western hemisphere and is not going to put pressure on China at the current juncture regarding Japan, she explained, adding that China is “clearly” targeting Japan.

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