Shinzo Abe

Former Japan PM Junichiro Koizumi says embattled leader Shinzo Abe may quit in June as support collapses

Japan’s ex-leader Junichiro Koizumi – a critic of Shinzo Abe’s support for nuclear power after the 2011 Fukushima crisis – said that if Abe hangs on, it could hurt LDP candidates in an upper house election next summer

PUBLISHED : Monday, 16 April, 2018, 10:34am
UPDATED : Monday, 16 April, 2018, 8:45pm

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s political crisis deepened on Monday after polls showed that suspected cronyism scandals have pushed his support to record lows and a popular predecessor said Abe would probably resign in June.

In another headache for the conservative premier, the finance ministry’s top bureaucrat has come under fire after a weekly magazine reported he had sexually harassed several female journalists.

The bureaucrat on Monday denied the accusations and said he would file a lawsuit against the magazine’s publisher.

Abe’s sliding ratings raise doubts about whether he can win a third three-year term as ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leader in a September vote, that he needs to win to stay in office, or whether he might resign before the party vote.

Speculation has even emerged that Abe, who surged back to power for a second term as prime minister in December 2012, promising to reboot a stale economy and bolster Japan’s defences, could call a snap general election as he did last October when his ratings were in a similar slump.

A survey by broadcaster Nippon TV released on Sunday showed Abe’s support had sunk to 26.7 per cent, the lowest since he took office in December 2012. An Asahi newspaper poll on Monday put his support at 31 per cent.

The latest signs of trouble for Abe come ahead of his summit this week with US President Donald Trump, where the difficult topics of North Korea’s nuclear and missile threats and touchy trade matters will be on the agenda.

“The situation is getting dangerous. Won’t Mr Abe resign around the time parliament’s session ends?” former premier Junichiro Koizumi, a one-time Abe mentor, said in an interview published by the online edition of the weekly magazine Aera.

The session ends on June 20.

Koizumi – a critic of Abe’s support for nuclear power after the 2011 Fukushima accident – said that if Abe hung on, it could hurt LDP candidates in an upper house election next year.

Crowds of protesters demonstrated near parliament on Saturday, holding signs saying “Abe is Over” and chanting “Abe quit!” Organisers said 50,000 people took part.

The Asahi survey, in line with others, showed that two-thirds of voters did not trust Abe’s explanations that he was not involved in the cronyism scandals.

Abe has denied that he had intervened to ensure preferential treatment for the educational institution Kake Gakuen, run by his friend Kotaro Kake, to set up a veterinary school.

He has also repeatedly denied that he or his wife intervened in a heavily discounted sale of state-owned land to another school operator, Moritomo Gakuen, which has ties to his wife.

The Moritomo affair has ensnared the finance ministry, which has admitted officials doctored documents related to the land-sale.

The ministry is also in an unwelcome spotlight over the sexual harassment allegations against Administrative Vice-Finance Minister Junichi Fukuda.

He has denied the allegations, published by the Shincho magazine, and vowed to sue its publisher for defamation.

Fukuda apologised for causing trouble for the minister and ministry officials “by inviting public distrust”, the ministry said.

Who would replace Abe, who has managed the rare feat of staying in office more than five years, is unclear.

Former cabinet minister Shigeru Ishiba, who wants to challenge Abe for the top post, topped a list of politicians that respondents to a weekend Kyodo news agency survey saw as best suited to become the next premier, with 26.6 per cent.

Popular young LDP lawmaker Shinjiro Koizumi – ex-prime minister Koizumi’s son – ranked second with 25.2 per cent, with Abe in third place with 18.3 per cent.

Former foreign minister Fumio Kishida, another possible contender, was fourth with 5.9 per cent followed by Internal Affairs Minister Seiko Noda at 3.6 per cent and Foreign Minister Taro Kono with 2.9 per cent.

Among LDP supporters, however, Abe was top with 36.7 per cent against 24.7 per cent for Ishiba, Kyodo said.

None of the potential successors has outlined clear agendas, although Ishiba and Kishida have suggested more attention should be paid to public debt and that the hyper-easy monetary policy central to the premier’s “Abenomics” growth strategy could not continue forever.