Singapore Airlines braces for hefty losses in Q1 as global travel hit by coronavirus

The airline’s net losses could widen to US$870 million through June because of a 96 per cent fall in capacity, analysts say
The airline expects passenger capacity in August and September to only be about 7 per cent of pre-pandemic levels

Singapore

Bloomberg

Published: 2:40pm, 27 Jul 2020

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Singapore Airlines, consistently voted one of the world’s best airlines by Skytrax, is poised for another hefty quarterly loss after the coronavirus pandemic left it flying a tiny fraction of its usual number of passengers.

The Singapore carrier warned this month that it expected a material operating loss in the first quarter of its financial year.

It already suffered a record net loss of S$732 million (US$530 million) in the three months through March, when it was hit by fuel-hedging losses as well as a collapse in demand triggered by the outbreak. That left the carrier with its first annual loss in its 48-year history.

The net loss could widen to S$1.2 billion (US$870 million) for the quarter through June and revenue may slump 87 per cent because of a 96 per cent drop in capacity, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analysts James Teo and Chris Muckensturm.

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Fuel-hedging losses will again take a toll, and this time there are also S$124 million in liquidation costs for NokScoot Airlines. Singapore Airlines owned a 49 per cent stake in the low-cost Thai carrier that collapsed in June.

The coronavirus pandemic continues to torment the global aviation industry, which is forecast to take at least another three years to recover from the plunge in traffic caused by tight border controls and a reluctance to travel.

Singapore Airlines is in a particularly tight spot as it is dependent on international flights. The carrier and its SilkAir and Scoot units flew 17,700 passengers in June, compared with 3.2 million a year earlier.

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“Progress towards a global lifting of border controls and travel restrictions, which could facilitate or result in the easier movement of travellers between countries, is slower than earlier expected,” Singapore Airlines said on July 15.

The airline, which has raised about S$11 billion through loans and a rights issue in June, will hold its annual general meeting on Monday morning and release a first-quarter business update after trading hours on Wednesday.

Unlike many of its peers, the carrier has not cut any jobs, though it has redeployed some staff to work at hospitals and on the city state’s public transport network. The government is spending S$93 billion – 20 per cent of its gross domestic product – to help people stay in work and support businesses.

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Yet job cuts are not being ruled out at Singapore Airlines, the Straits Times cited Chief Executive Goh Choon Phong as saying last month. The carrier, whose shares are down 43 per cent this year, had about 28,000 staff as of the end of March.

Singapore Airlines is gradually restoring some routes, but there have been setbacks as fresh outbreaks flare up in places such as Melbourne, forcing it to suspend services to the Australian city.

The airline expects passenger capacity in August and September to only be about 7 per cent of pre-pandemic levels.

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