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Thailand’s economy sees biggest second quarter contraction since Asian financial crisis

  • Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy shrank 12.2 per cent in April-June from a year earlier, the biggest drop since 1998
  • The coronavirus pandemic has hit trade, tourism and exports, but the Thai government plans to add more stimulus measures this month

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The Bangkok skyline. While Thailand has lifted most lockdown restrictions, its economy continues to suffer from an ongoing ban on incoming passenger flights and from tepid global demand. Photo: AFP
Thailand’s economy saw its biggest annual contraction in 22 years and a record quarterly fall in the April-June period, as the coronavirus pandemic and restriction measures hit tourism, exports and domestic activity, prompting an outlook downgrade.

Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy, which is heavily reliant on tourism and exports, shrank 12.2 per cent in the second quarter from a year earlier, the worst contraction since the Asian financial crisis in 1998, data from the state planning agency showed on Monday.

But that was better than a 13.3 per cent slump seen in a Reuters poll, and compared with a downwardly revised 2.0 per cent fall in the March quarter.

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On a quarterly basis, the economy shrank a seasonally adjusted 9.7 per cent, the deepest on record, but better than the 11.4 per cent drop forecast by economists.

The National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) cut its gross domestic product forecast for 2020. It now expects Thailand’s economy to shrink by 7.3 -7.8 per cent this year, having previously forecast a 5-6 per cent contraction.

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“Today’s economic release underscores the collapse of aggregate demand, both externally and internally,” said Kobsidthi Silpachai, head of capital markets research of Kasikornbank. “Recovery will be lengthy as the shock to the demand and supply side has been the most severe in living memory.”

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