Sara Duterte’s image is as down-to-earth as that of her father in a country where tough plays well: she once punched a court official who challenged her; she rides big motorbikes; her children are nicknamed Sharkie, Stingray and Stonefish.

But Sara Duterte said she had thought carefully and decided not to try to extend the political dynasty to the presidency after succeeding her father as mayor of the southern city of Davao.

“I made a chart where I listed the whys and why nots before I decided that I am not going to run,” she said, adding that she hadn’t even told her father the reason.

That hasn’t stopped the campaigns. Posters, banners, stickers, T-shirts, calendars bearing the younger Duterte’s image with the words “Run, Sara, Run” have popped up across the archipelago of 108 million people. Her supporters say she has nothing to do with the campaigns.

“Run, Sara, Run” calls have increased among the millions of Filipinos abroad, a key support base of Duterte.

In Cebu City, more than 500 motorcycles joined a motorcade for the “Sara Duterte for President Movement” on March 28 to convince the older Duterte to get her to run.

“I thank all of them for their trust and confidence,” she said. “Not everyone wants to be president.”

Ramon Casiple, a political analyst and vice-president of consulting and research firm Novo Trends PH, said the signs still pointed to a likely run by Sara Duterte that would mirror the way her father’s last-minute bid had energised his 2016 campaign.

“You are talking about the same set of tactics,” Casiple said.

Like her father, Sara Duterte trained as a lawyer before joining politics. In 2010, she became mayor of Davao, a city of more than 1.6 million people 1,000km from Manila.

A victory could help protect her father against potential legal challenges in a country where losing the immunity of office can often open the way to the settling of political vendettas, political analysts said. Duterte also faces possible international action over his bloody war on drugs.

“No one can protect Duterte better than her,” said Carlos Conde, Philippines researcher for the New York-based Human Rights Watch.

Sara Duterte, like her father, has a reputation for being tough. She has openly traded barbs with the president but few doubt her loyalty.

During her confirmation as a reserve army colonel last year, a senator asked her why the president had repeatedly said he was afraid of her.

“That is just in his mind,” said Sara Duterte, in a crew cut and formal military uniform. “I have always supported him.”

Continuity would also be welcomed by the bureaucrats and tycoons who prospered under Duterte’s rule, said Earl Parreno, author of a biography of Duterte titled Beyond Will & Power. Whether Sara Duterte would keep to her father’s policies is another question.

Sara Duterte showed her independence some three years ago when she united political factions to oust one of the president’s allies as lower house speaker.

She has not been so outspoken on the bloody drugs war that has been a centrepiece of Duterte’s administration, but has said prevention and rehabilitation should be part of drug policy, while adding “law enforcement should be quick to the draw.”

She has also not been as close to China as her father – whose close ties to Beijing rattled the traditional alliance with the US and a domestic security establishment with close US ties.

In 2020, Sara Duterte visited the Us for State Department-sponsored leadership training.

“We should be a bystander in the China vs US issue,” she said. “We should collect friends outside of the two, so that if one turns their back on us, we still have nine. And if both forget about us, we still have eight. And if eight leave us, we should stand alone.”