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‘Trade war could last a decade’: why Chinese firms are preparing for long haul

  • Adjusting prices and looking to new markets are among the options for companies affected by trade tensions with the US
  • Both countries’ economies have felt the impact, but there are reasons why it may suit Donald Trump to prolong the stand-off

Reading Time:7 minutes
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Illustration: Kaliz Lee
Wendy Wuin Beijing

Shanghai-based fruit importer Lucas Liu is on the front line of the US-China trade war. The cost of American cherries, for example, has risen by roughly half, prompting him to cut back on what he orders from the United States.

Liu, who sells American cherries, apples, oranges, prunes and plums to Chinese consumers, is continuing to buy from the US to maintain his long-standing relationships with his suppliers – but he is also looking elsewhere.

This month he is planning a trip to Uzbekistan to assess the possibilities for cherry plantations there.

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“I am buying much less than last year, but I won’t stop buying from American suppliers,” he said. “Turkey, Canada and Central Asia have quickly made up the shortfall as alternative suppliers.”

The US-China trade war has forced dealers and producers in China to diversify their markets, with no sign of an imminent solution to the dispute as it drags into a second year.
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Liu’s decision to look west is aided by Beijing’s westward economic strategy: the Belt and Road Initiative, designed to connect China with Europe and Africa through transcontinental infrastructure investment. As part of the initiative, traders can benefit from streamlined customs clearance when doing business with belt and road partner countries.
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