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China-EU relations
ChinaDiplomacy

China and EU wait to see how American election result will affect investment treaty negotiations

  • The election outcome may not only alter American relations with other countries but also cause ripple effects for relationships that don’t include the US
  • Investment treaty negotiations have been through 33 rounds of talks over seven years and it seems unlikely a deal will be reached by the end of 2020

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China and the EU have been in talks on an investment treaty for seven years. Photo: Bloomberg
Wendy Wu,Laura ZhouandJun Mai
China and the European Union are waiting for the result of the US presidential election which could prompt policy adjustments for the respective governments and cast additional uncertainty on the negotiation of an investment treaty, sources and analysts said.
Market access is the stumbling point in current China-EU investment talks after some progress was made in recent months on issues over state-owned enterprises and subsidies. Beijing deliberated in its offers to Brussels out of concern that any concession to the EU would also be requested by the US, one source said.

A diplomatic source said both sides had complained about each other failing “to work hard enough”. The European side has accused Beijing of not delivering more to level the playing field while China is not pleased with restrictions against Chinese investment in the European market, with some of those restrictions deemed to be based on national security grounds.

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China’s official position has been that it would “try to complete the negotiation by the end of the year” but the parties have played down that ambition, with one source from the Chinese side saying Beijing now had less urgency towards negotiations than in previous months.

Even if there were a political will to endorse the deal, it was possible it could be delayed until early next year, another source said.

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