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US-China relations
ChinaDiplomacy

China’s growing nuclear arsenal raises real risk of attack, top US commander warns

  • US Strategic Command head says Chinese military could change its ‘no first use’ policy at any moment
  • Conflict could escalate if conventional loss seen as threatening the state, he says

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China has never revealed the extent of its nuclear arsenal. Photo: Xinhua
Liu Zhen

The US military must prepare for the “very real possibility” of a nuclear attack as China and Russia rapidly expand their arsenals, the head of America’s nuclear weapons has warned.

The warning from Admiral Charles Richard, chief of the US Strategic Command, was published just as the United States met a deadline to extend a key nuclear arms control treaty for five more years.

“At the US Strategic Command, we assess the probability of nuclear use is low, but not ‘impossible’ particularly in a crisis and as our nuclear-armed adversaries continue to build capability and exert themselves globally,” Richard said in an article in the February issue of the US Naval Institute’s Proceedings magazine.

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He said the US military must shift its main assumption from “nuclear employment is not possible” to “nuclear employment is a very real possibility”, and act to “deter that reality”.

He said Russia and China were “aggressively challenging” world peace with their growing capability, and could escalate a conflict into nuclear war if they” perceived a conventional loss would threaten the regime or state”.

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He said China was on track to be a strategic peer and Beijing’s commitment to not use a nuclear weapon first in a conflict – a policy in place since the 1960s – “could change in the blink of an eye”.

“Beijing is pursuing capabilities and operating in a manner inconsistent with a minimum deterrent strategy, giving it a full range of options, including limited use and a first-strike capability,” he said.

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