China ready to step up pressure on Taiwan and US over mission office name change – up to a point
- Biden administration reportedly considering Taiwanese request to change the name of its mission in the US capital to the Taiwan Representative Office
- PLA tactics to bring Taiwan into the fold could include bigger drills, more frequent sorties and approaches to the island’s airspace, says former colonel
The Biden administration has reportedly been considering a Taiwanese request to change the name of its mission in the US capital from the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office (Tecro) to the Taiwan Representative Office, which could be received by Beijing as a serious insult if it went ahead.
Yue Gang, a former PLA colonel, said that since Beijing had always insisted it reserved the right to use force to bring the self-ruled Taiwan into its fold, military pressure on the island would escalate.
On Friday, 10 mainland Chinese warplanes entered Taiwan’s air defence identification zone, the island’s defence ministry said.
Taiwan, which concluded an annual military drill the same day, said 25 warplanes from the mainland had entered the zone since the Han Kuang exercise started on Monday.
“Certainly, we would not spare Taiwan from punishment if they did change the name of the mission, because the Taiwanese independence forces initiated it through intense lobbying and promotion, to cater and facilitate the anti-China atmosphere in Washington,” Yue said.
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“But it’s unlikely we would enter the airspace, because our goal is to put them under mental pressure, not to start the war just yet,” he added.
Hong Kong-based military commentator Song Zhongping quoted The Art of War, saying war would be a matter of life and death, and not a simple move to make.
“To use military means to solve the Taiwan issue would be a last resort, so all military activities are preparations,” he said.
“China is not going to bear with it … and would even do whatever it could to up its ante in the East and South China [seas],” Wang said.
But Lu Yeh-chung, professor of diplomacy at National Chengchi University, said recalling the ambassador to the US would be a difficult decision because downgraded bilateral ties “could take years to recover”.
“Beijing has hoped to turn a new page in its relationship with Washington and, compared with Trump’s policy, it has found Biden’s relatively more acceptable, and does not want to sour China-US relations further,” Lu said.
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Lin Yu-fang, a former lawmaker of the major opposition Kuomintang in Taiwan said that, given the sensitivity of the issue and Biden’s attitude in trying to amend ties with Beijing, whether the name changing proposal was possible was “something worth pondering”.
“In the big picture, Biden and his government have never said they would revoke the one-China policy, which they have stressed would remain as the baseline in US dealing with mainland China,” Lin said.