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US-China tech war
ChinaDiplomacy

US-China technology FDI crashes but decoupling is ‘not imminent’

  • Report finds ‘multiple choke points’ in supply chains will maintain a continuing global co-dependency for some time to come
  • Meanwhile Washington continues to build a coalition against China which, if successful, could pose a greater challenge for Beijing

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Decoupling of the US and Chinese economies will continue to be a defining feature of the technology landscape for years to come, according to a new report. Photo: Shutterstock
Laura Zhouin Beijing
Technology-related foreign direct investment (FDI) between China and the US dropped by 96 per cent from 2016 to 2020, as the world’s two biggest economies decouple their supply chains as part of their increasingly bitter great power rivalry.

And, if successful, the United States’ push to build up a supply chain coalition against China could pose a greater challenge to Beijing which has invested heavily in technology and supply chain independence, Boston-headquartered consultancy Bain & Company said in its latest technology report 2021, released on Monday.

The assessment was made ahead of the first-ever Quad leaders’ summit, taking place at the White House on Friday, where US President Joe Biden will host the in-person leadership meeting of the informal alliance with Japan, Australia and India. Countering China’s dominance and the building of new semiconductor supply chains are expected to be high on the agenda.
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Next Wednesday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, and trade representative Katherine Tai will host European Commission vice-presidents Margrethe Vestager and Valdis Dombrovskis at the inaugural US-EU Trade and Technology Council meeting in Pittsburgh.

The two sides are expected to announce a deal to share information and data relating to foreign takeovers and cooperate on assessing investments in strategic assets, in another veiled swipe at China.

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Overall, the FDI between the US and China fell by 75 per cent, from US$62 billion in 2016 to US$16 billion last year, the report said. It was a stark contrast with their own massive domestic investments in technology.

In June, the US Senate approved the US$250 billion Innovation and Competition Act, which will provide US$52 billion for domestic semiconductor research and manufacturing, a 30 per cent funding boost for the National Science Foundation, and US$29 billion to fund a new applied sciences directorate.

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