As Wall Street stays bullish on China, the challenge is selling it to US middle and working class
- Goldman Sachs and BlackRock are among Wall Street mainstays rushing to buy up Chinese equity as limits are lifted and direct lines to Beijing opened up
- But with economic ties sidelined by geopolitical and ideological rivalry, China needs to win over not just businesses but American hearts and minds as well
Despite an all-fronts rivalry between China and the US, Wall Street has continued to double down on the world’s No 2 economy.
In the latest development, Goldman Sachs said it had received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to take full ownership of its Chinese joint venture Gao Hua Securities.
The Chinese leadership has long remained in close contact with Wall Street bankers. They were invited to take part in restructuring China’s four biggest state-owned commercial banks in the early 2000s.
George Soros, not BlackRock, is the one making a China blunder
Other than the deal with Gao Hua Securities, Goldman Sachs entered into a wealth partnership in May with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, No 1 among its “big four” lenders, which will allow the US firm to draw on the savings of the bank’s Chinese customers.
The same month, BlackRock also said it had received approval for a wealth management partnership with China Construction Bank.
What Wang Qishan told old friend from US about Communist Party’s legitimacy
Beijing also lobbied heavily for index provider MSCI to include Chinese A shares, or domestic stocks, in 2017.
01:50
Joe Biden says China will ‘eat our lunch’ on infrastructure
“The role of Wall Street as a stabiliser has diminished, as so much has changed in bilateral economic relations,” said Shi Yinhong, an international relations professor at Renmin University of China.
“A stable relationship is in Wall Street’s interests, while they are well aware of changes in politics, economy and public opinion in the US. Their role to influence China policy has been limited.”
Not only is the Chinese market of 1.4 billion people too big to ignore, the country’s consumers also have a large proportion of savings lying idle in bank accounts, and its stocks have been undervalued.
Senior Commerce Ministry official Zong Changqing said foreign direct investment into China this year so far was better than expected, and was likely to surpass one trillion yuan this year. China attracted nearly 1 trillion yuan in foreign direct investment in 2020.
Zong said on Friday that conditions to attract foreign investment had continued to improve, and foreign firms had been optimistic about the long-term prospects in China’s markets, though the reshaping of global industrial chains and the decoupling risks might continue to complicate China’s efforts to stabilise foreign investment.
China last year lifted the 49 per cent cap on foreign equity holding in securities and fund management firms, in a key opening-up measure for its financial markets.
And more than 10 foreign brokers have increased stakes in their Chinese joint ventures so far this year.
Zhu Tian, a professor of economics with the China Europe International Business School in Shanghai and author of Catching Up to America, said Wall Street’s infiuence on the Washington inner circle would be limited.
“It can play a messenger’s role to reduce misunderstanding and misconception to a very limited degree,” Zhu said.
US Senator Marco Rubio has accused Wall Street of helping to finance Beijing’s efforts to weaken and replace the US leadership, and said its bankers had only helped to enrich themselves in the short term by hurting Americans, which would be “national economic suicide” in the long term.
01:38
Xi Jinping warns against ‘new Cold War’ and ‘confrontation’
“It will certainly complicate the work of policymakers in Washington keen to see American business get on board with the Biden administration’s vision of ‘extreme competition’,” Nardello & Co, a risk consulting firm in the US, said in a research note.
“Beijing, meanwhile, will be hoping that US financial institutions will help moderate Washington’s current foreign policy hawkishness, though the domestic political dividends of demonising Wall Street are likely to prove as irresistible to China hawks as Chinese savings are to BlackRock and Goldman Sachs.”
Despite their ever-growing interest, foreign lenders account for a market share of only around 2 per cent in China’s banking sector. US industries have long expressed grievances regarding China’s market restrictions, state-controlled monopoly, inadequate intellectual property protection and growing scrutiny on national security grounds.
Economic considerations, once the most significant stabiliser in China-US relations, have been outweighed by the forces of geopolitical and ideological confrontation.
China tells Wall Street tech crackdown aims to ‘reduce social anxiety’
“There is a strong and shared incentive for both Beijing and Washington to focus on reducing the anxieties on America’s Main streets, not just Wall Street,” Li wrote in a recent article.