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Trump-era hawk wants US to ‘prepare for limited war’ with China over Taiwan

  • Former deputy assistant defence secretary Elbridge Colby outlines his prescription for how to win a conflict in book which calls for ‘Asian Nato’
  • Its main aim should be to defend Taiwan from mainland attack he says, calling for an end to US policy of strategic ambiguity

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A former US deputy assistant defence secretary has argued in favour of an armed conflict with China over Taiwan. Photo: Reuters

If the US is to win a war with China, it should direct most of its military resources to the Indo-Pacific and form an Asian Nato to prevent mainland forces from setting foot on Taiwan.

Former US deputy assistant secretary of defence Elbridge Colby also calls for an end to Washington’s policy of strategic ambiguity on Taiwan, in his book outlining these views, The Strategy of Denial.

Many geopolitical observers are expecting the self-ruled island to be at the centre of any actual conflict if there is a war this century, with US-China rivalries playing out in evermore expansive areas.

Former US deputy assistant secretary of defence Elbridge Colby. Photo: US Army
Former US deputy assistant secretary of defence Elbridge Colby. Photo: US Army

For Colby, a Pentagon official during Donald Trump’s administration, a major war between the two countries is becoming ever more plausible. In response, he outlines a “denial defence” strategy which he says should be America’s playbook.

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Colby was the main crafter of Trump’s 2018 national defence strategy, which decisively shifted the US from concerns about terrorism and towards great power competition, naming China a “strategic competitor”.

In Colby’s view, China is seeking to become a regional hegemony and will do so, if not actively stopped by the US. “The best strategy” that China has, he writes, is to capture a vulnerable US ally or quasi-ally, which he identifies as Taiwan.

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Unification with Taiwan has been a stated goal of China’s ruling Communist Party since 1949, with Chinese President Xi Jinping vowing to take the island back “by force” if necessary.

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