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Continuity and caution key to China-Africa ties in Xi Jinping’s third term

  • Expert says African countries are central to China’s leadership ambitions on global stage
  • But mounting debt pressures have seen projects under Belt and Road Initiative scaled down

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President Xi Jinping arrives for the opening ceremony of the Communist Party’s national congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on October 16. Photo: Reuters

China’s diplomatic and economic engagement with Africa has risen under President Xi Jinping to become the continent’s largest trading partner and main source of project finance.

Through his signature Belt and Road Initiative, a plan to grow global trade, the continent has received financing for infrastructure projects including ports, highways, bridges, railways and hydroelectric dams.
But the massive debts accrued have come with problems, and Beijing is fighting off accusations from the United States and European countries that it has advanced an unsustainable amount of debt that African countries are unable to repay – something described by Washington as a “debt trap”. Beijing has denied those accusations, saying “the so-called Chinese debt trap is a lie made up by the US and some other Western countries to deflect responsibility and blame”.

Xi did not mention Africa directly in the speech he delivered at the opening of the Communist Party’s national congress on October 16, but observers said the continent would continue to play a key role in China’s global ambitions.

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Paul Nantulya, a research associate at the Africa Centre for Strategic Studies at the National Defence University in Washington, said Xi’s third term as Communist Party general secretary would help maintain continuity in China-Africa relations, which had arguably reached their apex under Xi.

He said Xi had inherited an African policy that was already on an upwards trajectory under his predecessor, Hu Jintao, and to some extent Hu’s predecessor Jiang Zemin, who founded the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation.

A Kenya Railways Corp goods train pulls shipping containers as it departs from the port station on the Chinese-built Mombasa-Nairobi Standard Gauge Railway in Mombasa, Kenya, in September 2018. Photo: Bloomberg
A Kenya Railways Corp goods train pulls shipping containers as it departs from the port station on the Chinese-built Mombasa-Nairobi Standard Gauge Railway in Mombasa, Kenya, in September 2018. Photo: Bloomberg

“Xi, however, is a much stronger and more consequential leader than Hu and Jiang, and doubtlessly the most powerful leader to rule China since Mao,” Nantulya said. “The 20th party congress has reconfirmed Xi’s status as ‘core leader’ – a formal title conferred on him in 2016 which means he has near-absolute authority over party policy and direction.”

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