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US-China relations
ChinaDiplomacy
Shi Jiangtao

As I see itWhy Xi’s words to Putin could be a moment for the history books

  • Six months ago, China’s leader told his Russian counterpart ‘let’s drive the changes together’
  • In a more uncertain and bipolar era, there could be a seismic shift in geopolitics ahead

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Xi Jinping last met “dear friend” Vladimir Putin in person six months ago, in Moscow. The two leaders could meet again in Beijing in October. Photo: EPA-EFE
When he bade farewell at the end of a three-day visit to Moscow six months ago, Chinese leader Xi Jinping pointed to the shifting geopolitical landscape.
“Let’s drive the changes together,” Xi said in a show of support for his “dear friend” Vladimir Putin – days after the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for the Russian leader over his alleged war crimes in Ukraine.

It was probably a moment for the history books as we move into a more uncertain time, with the world increasingly divided along ideological and geopolitical fault lines.

Last week US Secretary of State Antony Blinken declared that Washington’s intensifying feud with “authoritarian, revisionist” powers led by China and Russia marked the end of the post-Cold War world order.

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According to Tsinghua University strategist Yan Xuetong, China’s rise as a junior superpower will bring a bipolarity that could “spell the end of sustained multilateralism”.

“Unlike the order that prevailed during the Cold War, a bipolar US-Chinese order will be shaped by fluid, issue-specific alliances rather than rigid opposing blocs divided along clear ideological lines,” Yan wrote in Foreign Affairs magazine back in 2019.
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He warned that “the transition will be a tumultuous, perhaps even violent, affair, as China’s rise sets the country on a collision course with the United States over a number of clashing interests”.

Indeed, the past few months have seen the rapid rise of rival blocs of ideologically aligned states, with America’s alliance-based Indo-Pacific strategy making significant inroads into China’s periphery region.

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