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US-China relations
ChinaDiplomacy

Will Xi or won’t Xi? Why Beijing has held off confirming attendance at Apec

  • The White House hopes the Chinese president will be at the forum and hold his first in-person meeting with Joe Biden in a year
  • While the meeting seems likely, China has concerns about being embarrassed by US actions like new sanctions during the visit

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Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden last met in person on the sidelines of the G20 summit on Bali, Indonesia, on November 14, 2022. Photo: AFP
Mark Magnierin New York

All signs point to a meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden during the Apec forum in San Francisco in two weeks. But Beijing has yet to officially confirm Xi’s attendance, a delay reflecting the dismal level of bilateral trust, Beijing’s political culture, concern that Xi could be embarrassed by last-minute events and a bid to extract concessions, analysts said.

Factors behind the hesitancy, analysts and a People’s Republic of China official said, include Beijing’s bid to extract a promise that Washington will not announce new sanctions or other awkward developments during the visit.

“The Chinese don’t want their leader to be embarrassed in the run-up to the summit, during his visit to the US, or immediately following the trip,” said Bonnie Glaser, Indo-Pacific managing director with the German Marshall Fund of the United States.

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“This undoubtedly includes an expectation that the US will refrain from taking actions, such as adding new PRC entities to control lists or announcing new export controls.”

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In 2017, Xi was unsettled when then-president Donald Trump launched – as the two leaders sat down to eat steak and pan-seared fish at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida – a missile strike on Syria, regarded as a US power play for Trump’s impending talks with Xi over North Korean leader Kim Jong-un.

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