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US-China relations
ChinaDiplomacy

Xi-Biden summit: China-US diplomatic flurry sets stage for main Apec event. But what can we expect?

  • Working meetings on disputed waterways, arms control and financial governance among the forerunners to meetings between presidents
  • ‘The best that can be hoped for is that one side will not spring a nasty surprise on the other, and that they will keep the other side apprised’: analyst

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US President Joe Biden last met Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, on November 14 last year. Photo: Reuters
Shi Jiangtao
With about a week before a much anticipated US-China summit, diplomats are engaged in a flurry of attempts to reinforce rapidly deteriorating ties and prepare for Chinese President Xi Jinping’s first US trip in over six years.

Pundits described the intensity and scale of the exchanges – including many at working levels – as “surprising” and as positive signs pointing to a potential detente between the rival powers amid heightened maritime and hi-tech tensions.

But political symbolism aside, they said both sides must yield “tangible deliverables” to prove that Xi’s summit with US President Joe Biden can deliver real progress that may help stabilise ties and avoid miscalculations and unintended crises.

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“The recent flurry of high-level diplomatic exchanges are positive signs that bilateral relations are improving and the two sides are warming up for the expected Biden-Xi summit in San Francisco,” said Zhiqun Zhu, an international relations professor at Bucknell University in Pennsylvania.

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But he cautioned that not too much should be expected from the summit and other bilateral exchanges because of structural problems and differences over the nature of the relationship – that the US aims to “outcompete” China while Beijing emphasises win-win cooperation.

“The two sides also need to rebuild trust and take specific measures to manage the relationship beyond just talking,” Zhu said.

While Beijing is yet to officially confirm Xi’s visit to San Francisco for the annual Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) summit next week, preparations for his first US visit since 2017 and diplomatic engagements have gathered pace in recent weeks.
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