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US-China relations
ChinaDiplomacy

China report lists top 5 global risks, with US responsible for most of them

  • Influential intelligence-linked think tank identifies American presidential race as a ‘prominent’ risk to global development and security
  • Other challenges include conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, geopolitical repositioning and constraints on technology and trade, it says

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US export controls and sanctions restricting China’s access to AI is helping to create an “intelligence gap” that could increase the risk of a military crisis, a Chinese think tank warns. Photo: Shutterstock
Orange Wang
Hi-tech constraints, geopolitical moves and supply chain actions by the US, as well as its presidential election, are likely to pose “prominent risks” to the world this year, a leading think tank affiliated with China’s top intelligence agency has warned.

In a report released on Tuesday, the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) said global development and security would continue to face various risks and challenges, “with uncertainties and instabilities becoming intertwined”.

According to the influential research institution, which comes under the Ministry of State Security, two of its identified top five risks to world peace and stability are directly attributed to the US, which is also a target for blame in the remainder.

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The report landed with Washington and Beijing still locking horns over a wide spectrum of differences, from the Taiwan Strait through the South China Sea to human rights issues, along with trade, sanctions and semiconductors.
Nevertheless, since the November summit between US President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, the two powers have been bidding to stabilise relations from their most confrontational point in their 45 years of official ties.

According to the CICIR, one of the main risks for 2024 is “an intelligence gap” that has been created by a few countries, particularly the US, which “views intelligence superiority as a key variable in consolidating its hegemony”.

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