Will China be Ukraine’s security guarantor? Unlikely, despite Russia’s wishes
Analysts say China might offer political or diplomatic support to end the war but lacks incentive and resources for security guarantees
Resource constraints and precedent mean China is unlikely to become one of Ukraine’s security guarantors – despite Russia’s suggestion that it could, according to analysts.
During a press conference on Wednesday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Moscow had agreed to develop a system of security guarantees involving all permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, including China, plus several other states, during direct negotiations with Kyiv in April 2022.
The Russian leader said he was willing to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine but mentioned China as one of the possible guarantors during the meeting, the American news site Axios reported on Saturday, citing an anonymous source.
Zhu Junwei, director of Horizon Insights Centre, a Chinese think tank, said Beijing was not expected to take a high-profile role in future discussions over security guarantees for Ukraine.