What could China do to hit back at a US drone attack?
- One option could be to target the base where the American unmanned vehicle came from, a Chinese strategist says
- Assessment follows a shift in US drone exercises towards the Pacific
China’s most effective response to a multiple US drone attack could be to hit back at the unmanned vehicles’ base and destroy the entire fleet, a Chinese military analyst suggested after reports that a recent US drone exercise might have been aimed at China.
So the most effective countermeasure could be to shoot down at least one enemy drone, use data from the debris to determine where it came from and then blow up the rest of the fleet at its base, the observer said. That though could lead to a rapid escalation in tensions.
“The Chinese military could locate the drone base’s once they have shot it down and collect the data … the most effective countermeasure is to blow up the base and destroy the whole fleet,” said Zhou Chenming, a researcher from the Yuan Wang, a Beijing-based military science and technology institute.
The assessment was made in response to a report by the US-based Air Force magazine that the US staged a simulated island assault exercise in California in September involving the MQ-9 Reaper drone.
The magazine said the exercise was the first training event focused on drone tactics in the Pacific and was in keeping with a pivot away from the Middle East.
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“No longer is the MQ-9 tied down to large forward-operating bases or bases in the continental United States,” Brian Davis, commander of the 29th Attack Squadron at Holloman Air Force Base, was quoted by US military magazine Stars and Stripes as saying.
The drones’ capabilities could come in handy in a place such as the South China Sea, he said.
Chinese military experts said most Chinese drones could not counter the MQ-9, but Beijing could deploy fighter jets when US drones entered Chinese airspace.
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Zhou said China had just two strike-capable drones that could counter the MQ-9.
“So far, China has only two strike-capable drones able to counter the MQ-9: the Wing Loong II and Rainbow-5, or Caihong-5,” Zhou said.
“But the endurance and payload of the two Chinese drones are just two-thirds of their American counterpart because of their inferior engines.”
Since the unit price of Wing Loong II is less than half that of the MQ-9, Zhou said another countermeasure could be for China to send more drones in a “drones wave strategy” to deal with their American counterpart.
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Beijing-based naval expert Li Jie said another option for the Chinese military was to deploy fourth-generation aircraft such as the J-10 and J-11 fighter jets, as well as the J-16 fighter. Alternatively, air-defence missiles or vertical guns could be used.
“[China should deploy] fighter jets because they are speedier and flying higher than the drones, but the key precondition is you should be able to discover [the US drones]” Li said.
“That’s why China has developed comprehensive and sophisticated electronic warfare systems, which include the use of radar to detect and release electronic interference signals to jam rival communication systems.”