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Taiwan: CIA chief warns Beijing looks determined to use force to take the island
- Agency director William Burns says it’s a matter of when and how – not whether – mainland China will attack the island
- Russia’s war in Ukraine has taught Beijing it needs to ‘amass overwhelming force’ to attempt a similar move, he says
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Mainland China appears determined to use force in Taiwan, with Russia’s experience in Ukraine affecting Beijing’s calculations on when and how – not whether – to attack, the head of the CIA said on Wednesday.
Appearing at the Aspen Security Forum, Central Intelligence Agency director William Burns said that Beijing had likely seen in Ukraine that “you don’t achieve quick, decisive victories with underwhelming force”.
He played down speculation that Chinese President Xi Jinping could move on the island after a key Communist Party meeting later this year but said the risks “become higher, it seems to us, the further into this decade that you get”.
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“I wouldn’t underestimate President Xi’s determination to assert China’s control” over the self-ruling island, he said.
Burns said that Beijing was “unsettled” when looking at Russia’s five-month-old war in Ukraine, which he characterised as a “strategic failure” for Russian President Vladimir Putin as he had hoped to topple the Kyiv government within a week.
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