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US-China relations
ChinaMilitary

Would a Cold War-style agreement help prevent China-US tensions from escalating?

  • A former PLA senior colonel suggestd US-Soviet agreement could provide model
  • But a former US defence official says level of tensions undermines historical comparison

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A PLA Navy J-11 fighter jet flies close to a US Air Force RC-135 surveillance plane over the South China Sea on December 21. Photo: Handout
Minnie Chan

China and the US should establish a mechanism similar to the agreement reached between Washington and Moscow during the Cold War to prevent the escalation of tensions, a retired People’s Liberation Army officer said last week.

But his suggestion prompted a sceptical response from a former US Defence Department official who managed military-to-military relations between China and the United States.

In an opinion piece published in the South China Morning Post on Wednesday, Zhou Bo, a former PLA senior colonel, called on both militaries to build confidence in new fields to prevent any conflict between the world’s two superpowers.
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“For those watching the war in Ukraine and worrying that a similar conflict might occur in the Taiwan Strait, my response is simple: it’s the South China Sea, stupid,” Zhou, now a senior fellow at the Centre for International Security and Strategy at Tsinghua University, wrote.

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PLA scrambles fighter jets after detecting foreign warplanes over South China Sea

PLA scrambles fighter jets after detecting foreign warplanes over South China Sea
Citing the stand-off between a PLA J-11 fighter jet and a US RC-135 surveillance plane on December 21, with the two aircraft flying within metres of each other, Zhou said the South China Sea was more dangerous than the Taiwan Strait, where both sides understood each other’s bottom lines.
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