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Exclusive | China’s politics getting in way of implementing ‘brilliant’ economic plan: US researcher William Overholt

  • China’s political leaders are not making the tough decisions needed to implement its ‘brilliant’ economic plan and move to the next stage of economic development, US researcher Overholt says

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China’s economy has evolved from being very simple to being very complex, said William Overholt, a senior research fellow at Harvard University’s Asia Centre. Photo: Handout
John Carter

China has an impressive plan for advancing its economy to the next level, but the unwillingness of its leaders to make tough decisions is getting in the way of its successful implementation, according to a top American researcher.

China’s economy had evolved from being very simple to being very complex, so that it could no longer be managed the same way, Dr William H. Overholt, a senior research fellow at Harvard University’s Asia Centre and its Kennedy School of Government, said in an interview on Thursday.

Unless the country’s economic management evolved, there was a risk of stagnation, Overholt said, describing the thesis in his new book China’s Crisis of Success.

All the “miracle” Asian economies – South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore – had gone through this process, but not without a certain amount of political and economic pain, he said.

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When a country reached a certain point in its economic and political evolution, three things happened, Overholt said.

First, big companies find themselves in a squeeze. “In China, we find that state-owned enterprises can’t earn back their cost of capital,” he said.

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