Where to for the KMT after Han Kuo-yu’s failed bid for Taiwan president?
- Kuomintang leaders step down after sobering loss, promising to take the result ‘very seriously’
- The party must also find a way to reach out to younger voters and bring in new people, analysts say
Tsai gained a record-breaking 8 million votes – nearly 3 million more than Han – in results seen as a repudiation of closer ties with Beijing as well as Han as a candidate.
Beijing should get friendly with Taiwan under Tsai
The KMT also failed to break the DPP’s hold on the island’s legislature, securing just 38 of the 113 seats compared to the DPP’s 61. Taiwan’s electorate turned out in great numbers to give the DPP the legislative majority over the KMT, with turnout at 74.9 per cent compared to only 66 per cent.
Han won Kaohsiung in a landslide in November 2018 to become the city’s first KMT mayor in nearly two decades. But on Saturday, he managed just 34.6 per cent of the votes in the city compared to Tsai’s 62.2 per cent, one of the worst results for him out of Taiwan’s 22 primary administrative regions.
“Since the people of the Republic of China (ROC) have made their decision, as a candidate I can only accept the result,” Han said in Kaohsiung to grim-faced supporters, using the official name for Taiwan. “I can only say that I have not worked hard enough and have let you all down.”
KMT chairman Wu Den-yih and other top leaders resigned late on Saturday to take responsibility for the losses, despite Wu’s promise to take back the legislature. Wu said the KMT had failed to meet its expectations and needed to improve.
After conceding, the KMT said on Twitter that it would “take this very seriously”.
“We [will] and must do our utmost, as a responsible opposition party, to oversee the ruling DPP in the four years to come in order to seek Taiwan’s greatest interests,” it wrote.
KMT vice-chairman Hau Lung-bin, who also stepped down, wrote on Facebook that each time the party had lost in the past, there had been calls for reform and unity but they were not heeded.
“Comrades, what path can our party take now? Besides destroying everything and rebuilding what other path do we have? This is the only choice for us to hope to emerge from the ruins!”
Lev Nachman, a Fulbright research fellow in Taiwan, said the election was “a clear rejection of Han” and endorsement of Tsai as candidates rather than of their respective parties.
Nachman pointed to the KMT’s showing in the 34 at-large legislator seats, which are allocated based on each party’s share of the overall vote. In this case, the KMT had 33.3 per cent of support compared to the DPP on 34 per cent.
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“Wu took a bet on Han and lost,” he said. “Although he lost, he has still tapped into something in Taiwan that will not simply die down because Han lost. He is still mayor of Kaohsiung and still has a platform to continue mobilising his base of support.”
Han supporter and Kaohsiung resident Chanel Kao wiped away tears as she described her disappointment over Han’s loss, slamming the recall effort against him and the DPP’s failures to fix Kaohsiung’s problems while in power.
“Of course we will continue to follow in mayor Han’s footsteps,” she said. “From the very beginning, I have supported Han Kuo-yu. If they want to recall Han, we will go out and support Han.”
“Tsai’s campaign message that ‘today’s Hong Kong, tomorrow’s Taiwan’ really moved a lot of young people, so the DPP earned a lot of points there,” Lin Ying-yu, assistant professor at the Institute of Strategic and International Affairs at National Chung Cheng University, said. “The DPP also fielded younger candidates, while the KMT’s at-large candidates and its candidates in general were too old, making it difficult to attract a younger electorate.”
Jonathan Sullivan, a Taiwan expert from the University of Nottingham, said Taipei mayor Ko Wen-je’s Taiwan People’s Party gained seats in the Legislative Yuan for the first time, laying the groundwork for a presidential run next time around.
“The KMT can take small comfort from its showing in the party list vote, knowing that Han was a flawed candidate and essentially an outsider within the KMT,” he said. “What they do with Han now, and whether they can regenerate, bring new people through and appeal to young people is a big question.“
Timothy Rich, from Western Kentucky University, said the KMT “failed to look inward” after losing the presidential election in 2016, recovering in the November 2018 local elections by focusing instead on populism and attacking issues such as same-sex marriage.
“Now the party must consider fundamental changes unless it wishes to be the opposition party for years to come,” he said. “A party that remains focused on Chinese identity and on campaigns that were effective 20 years ago risks not only strengthening the DPP but encouraging new parties to fill the void left by the KMT.”