Taiwan’s new Mainland Affairs Council chief may signal shift in policy on Beijing, analysts say
- Chiu Tai-san, who is seen as a moderate, said he hoped the two sides could move towards ‘exchanges based on pragmatism’
- Analysts see the appointment as a response to signs from the Biden administration and an effort to ease tensions
Taipei on Friday said Chiu would replace Chen Ming-tong as head of policymaking body the Mainland Affairs Council. Chen will head up the National Security Bureau, whose former chief Chiu Kuo-cheng will be the new defence minister. He takes over from Yen Te-fa, who will become Tsai’s national security adviser.
Announcing the reshuffle, Tsai’s spokesman Xavier Chang said the changes had been made in response to a new phase of regional and international politics in the post-pandemic era.
At a ceremony on Tuesday, 64-year-old Chiu said the Mainland Affairs Council was likely to “make preparations and assessments to map out new policies and strategies” for dealing with Beijing.
Chiu, who has previously served as vice-chairman of the council, also called for Beijing to take a more pragmatic approach and set aside its insistence that the 1992 consensus on “one China” must pave the way for the resumption of cross-strait talks.
“The consensus has been in dispute in Taiwan for a long time … and the new interpretation added by the mainland side has left [Taiwan] little room for manoeuvre and made it difficult for the Taiwanese public to accept,” Chiu said, adding that the two sides needed to find a way to address the issue.
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Chiu said he hoped the two sides could move towards “exchanges based on pragmatism”.
“If political exchanges are too sensitive … and there is not enough mutual trust, we can always start with non-political, economic, social and cultural exchanges to build up mutual trust before taking on higher-level issues,” he said.
“For Taiwan, the most important global political development is the change of the US government and the possible impact brought by the Biden administration on US-Taiwan-China relations,” said Chao Chun-shan, a professor emeritus with the Institute of China Studies at Tamkang University in Taipei.
He said Trump’s use of Taiwan as a pawn in his strategy with Beijing had inflamed cross-strait tensions, but Biden could seek to cooperate with Beijing in areas like climate change, even while disputes over trade, security and human rights continued.
“With Taiwan being identified as a potential flashpoint in the region, Biden does not want to see cross-strait conflict disrupting his foreign policy,” Chao said.
Stephen Tan, president of Taipei-based think tank the Cross-Strait Policy Association, said Chiu was a moderate who could be expected to take a more pragmatic approach.
He added that Tsai was responding to the new situation and signals from the Biden administration, which was why she had called on Beijing several times to resume talks in the post-pandemic era.
“[Chiu’s] appointment suggests there will be gradual but significant changes to cross-strait policy in the next two years,” Tan said.
But Wang Kung-yi, who heads the Taiwan International Strategic Study Society think tank in Taipei, said the dispute over the 1992 consensus would need to be resolved before any restart of exchanges.
“Unless the two sides can broker a new deal to replace the consensus it is unlikely Beijing will want to resume talks with Taipei,” Wang said. “The ball is in Beijing’s court, and appointing a new council chairman won’t change that.”