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Coronavirus pandemic
ChinaPolitics

What next for China’s zero-Covid policy after Shanghai lockdown?

  • Subtle changes have been introduced to prevent widespread closures but the reliance on PCR testing has huge costs
  • Experts say the approach is financially unsustainable and there is also a possibility strict controls could become the new normal for society

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Mass PCR testing is a cornerstone of China’s zero-Covid policy but analysts warn resources could be diverted from better long-term strategies. Photo: AFP
Josephine Ma
A few days after Shanghai lifted its two-month lockdown, the city went on high alert after recording a handful of Covid-19 cases spread via community transmission.

To prevent another full-scale lockdown, the financial powerhouse is now banking on regular nucleic acid testing, sophisticated contact tracing – based on surveillance technologies and big data – and prompt, highly localised lockdowns when infections are found.

There have been subtle changes to China’s zero-Covid policy, with the aim now to scoop up positive cases and their close contacts, and quarantine them as soon as possible to maintain zero-Covid in non-quarantine zones.
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The Chinese authorities call the revised strategy “zero-Covid at the community level” and this refined approach appears to have helped Beijing avoid a citywide lockdown as well as enabling Shanghai to reopen, even as cases remained in its quarantined areas.

However, experts warn that a reliance on mass testing to curb Covid-19 transmission is unsustainable, both epidemiologically and financially, and may divert resources from better long-term strategies.

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One expert also cautioned that the draconian measures used to curb infections could become permanent as a means of social control.

Tests after tests

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